Groupon Shares Decline After Forecast Trails Estimates
Groupon Inc. (GRPN) shares fell 22 percent, the most in a year, after the online-discounts company forecast first-quarter profit that trailed analysts’ estimates on higher expenses for acquisitions and marketing.
Two purchases last month will hurt profit by $20 million this quarter, Groupon said yesterday after the markets closed. That impact, plus $25 million in additional expenses for marketing and growth initiatives, will lead to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $20 million to $40 million, Groupon said. Analysts had estimated $96 million, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Chief Executive Officer Eric Lefkofsky has been pursuing acquisitions as he seeks to convert the company from daily e-mail deals to a service offering thousands of discounts. Last month, Groupon completed its purchase of South Korean e-commerce marketplace Ticket Monster Inc. and agreed to acquire fashion site Ideeli for $43 million in cash.
The shares dropped 22 percent to $8.03 at the close in New York, the biggest one-day decline since Feb. 28, 2013, when the company ousted Andrew Mason as CEO after reporting results that disappointed investors. Today’s drop extended the decline for the year so far to 32 percent. The stock had more than doubled in 2013.
The forecast showing the impact of the two purchases put a damper on Groupon’s fourth-quarter results, which exceeded analysts’ estimates with stronger mobile sales.
Sales rose 20 percent to $768.4 million, the Chicago-based company said. That beat the $718 million average estimate of analysts compiled by Bloomberg. Leaving out one-time items, earnings of 4 cents a share beat the 2-cent average projection.
“I don’t think everything will be smooth sailing, but they are definitely moving in the right direction,” Tom Forte, an analyst at Telsey Advisory Group, said in an interview.
Groupon’s net loss was $81.2 million, or 12 cents a share, little changed from a year earlier.
Online retailers generally struggled in the fourth quarter. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)’s profit and sales trailed analysts’ estimates on a slowdown outside the U.S. and a surge in holiday shopping costs. EBay Inc. (EBAY)’s sales fell short of predictions, and the company said in January that activist investor Carl Icahn had proposed splitting off its PayPal online-payments unit.
Groupon, which also competes with deal sites like LivingSocial Inc., forecast first-quarter sales of $710 million to $760 million, compared with the average estimate of $685.4 million.
Groupon makes money by offering discounts -- known as Groupons -- from businesses such as restaurants and nail salons. It then shares the revenue with the merchants.
To boost growth, the company has been making major improvements in the past year to its site and mobile applications. Earlier this month, it unveiled a self-service feature that could let thousands of additional merchants work with the online-deals provider every month. Known as Deal Builder, the tool offers templates and step-by-step directions so merchants can create product and service offers without help. Previously, Groupon’s sales force worked with sellers -- usually in person or via phone -- to create offers.
Groupon also beefed up its management team, most recently adding executives from Orbitz Worldwide Inc. and Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s WalmartLabs.
“The fact that they are able to attract these high-quality people to their company shows that this is a story that’s on the mend,” Forte said.
Groupon has to show revenue growth this year without sacrificing profit margins, Steve Weinstein, senior Internet analyst at ITG Investment Research, said in an interview.
“I think they got it on a more stable footing over the last year,” Weinstein said. “Now it’s our opportunity to assess, ‘OK, what can this business really be -- what is the realistic growth?’ Domestic e-commerce is growing at double digits, and they can probably do a little better than that, because they are doing something that’s unique.”
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