SNC-Lavalin Rebounding as CEO Card Weighs Asset Sales
The shares are now trading about 2.6 percent above their closing price on Feb. 27, the day before SNC announced a probe of inaccurate documentation in its construction unit. The stock was still 1.1 percent below that price yesterday, reflecting a wider investigation that led to fraud charges against former CEO Pierre Duhaime and class-action lawsuits from investors.
Ensuring the company kept its “social license to operate” was among the top priorities for Card, who became chief on Oct. 1. He has appointed new senior managers and is considering the sale of infrastructure assets from a toll road to power lines after grouping them in a new unit.
“Bob Card is doing the right things,” Trevor Johnson, an analyst at National Bank Financial in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. “He put his mark on the company by bringing his own team and that’s resonated well with investors. It makes it easier to forget about what happened when you have people who weren’t there in the first place.”
SNC has climbed 42 percent from its Aug. 31 low of C$35 in the wake of the investigation’s disclosure.
“People are jumping on the bandwagon,” said Maxim Sytchev, an AltaCorp Capital analyst who has a target price of C$57 for SNC shares.
The stock gained 3.8 percent to C$49.65 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the first close above the pre-scandal price and a 65 percent premium to the benchmark S&P Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index on a price-earnings basis.
“SNC-Lavalin’s recent share price gains are entirely justified, and more importantly, we continue to see further upside from current levels,” said Michael Tupholme, an analyst at TD Securities in Toronto who has a buy rating on the stock.
Tupholme raised his 12-month target price to C$57 from C$52 yesterday, citing rising valuations for the company’s infrastructure holdings and “our increased confidence that SNC- Lavalin is moving past many of the issues” that have weighed on the stock since February 2012.
Before Card revamped the company’s structure, SNC’s infrastructure and environment businesses made up its largest unit, generating 27 percent of C$7.21 billion in sales in 2011. Infrastructure concession investments accounted for an additional 7 percent of revenue.
In Card’s first three months on the job, he created a new infrastructure, concessions and investments unit, and put Gilles Laramee, the company’s acting chief financial officer, in charge, with a mission of providing “a top level focus on strategic oversight.”
The CEO said on a Nov. 2 conference call that SNC-Lavalin had begun assessing which infrastructure concession investments, or ICIs, it wanted to keep. Owning such assets, including a minority stake in Ontario’s Highway 407, has allowed Montreal- based SNC-Lavalin to win construction contracts in recent years.
The company hasn’t announced any decisions from the review, and Leslie Quinton, a spokeswoman, declined to comment further yesterday.
SNC-Lavalin said in December its infrastructure assets had an estimated market value of C$3.4 billion as of Sept. 30, including C$1.5 billion for the Highway 407 stake and C$1.1 billion for the AltaLink power distribution company.
Highway 407 and AltaLink might generate C$3 billion in cash if they were sold, RBC Capital Markets said Feb. 1.
“People are getting excited about them potentially monetizing some of their infrastructure investments,” National Bank Financial’s Johnson said.
Pressure on SNC to sell some of the holdings may increase with the acquisition of a stake by a Toronto-based hedge fund, West Face Capital Inc.
Having an activist investor such as West Face on board “can’t hurt,” Luc Fournier, a fund manager at Quebec City- based Industrial Alliance Insurance Financial Services Inc. said by phone. “They’ll be under pressure to create some value.”
Quinton confirmed via e-mail that the company learned late last year about West Face’s stake. SNC doesn’t know how large the holding is because only those that exceed 10 percent must be reported, she said, adding that company executives have met with West Face officials.
Greg Boland, West Face’s CEO and founder, didn’t respond to voice mail messages left yesterday and last week for this story. The Globe and Mail newspaper reported West Face’s investment in SNC last week.
Should an asset sale occur, “most investors would be looking for a special dividend,” said Johnson at National Bank Financial. He raised his rating on SNC to outperform from sector perform on Nov. 4, saying a potential sale of all or part of the infrastructure holdings could “unlock value.”
In addition to strategic options, a second part of Card’s strategy has been relocating executives outside Canada to help SNC win new business globally.
He took a step toward that last month when he announced the hiring of former Amec Plc Chief Operating Officer Neil Bruce as president of resources and environment -- a new unit that is the company’s largest. It includes hydrocarbons and chemicals, mining and metallurgy, environment and water. Bruce is based in London.
Those steps have taken place against the backdrop of the criminal investigation, including the arrest of Duhaime in late November.
The ex-CEO was formally charged in a Montreal court yesterday with fraud, conspiracy to commit fraud and issuing false documents, Michel Massicotte, his lawyer, said in a telephone interview. Duhaime pleaded not guilty, Massicotte said.
A warrant obtained by the Quebec police anti-corruption unit accused Duhaime and Riadh Ben Aissa, who oversaw SNC’s business in Libya, of defrauding the McGill University Health Centre of more than C$5,000. SNC won a C$1.6 billion contract in 2010 to build and maintain the facility.
Ben Aissa, who left the company last February, was subsequently arrested by Swiss authorities investigating allegations of corruption, fraud and money laundering related to business in North Africa, the country’s Attorney General’s office said.
He has been held in Switzerland since without being charged, Ben Aissa’s brother, Rafik, said in a Jan. 26 statement on his complaint against the Swiss prosecutor in the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg, France.
Elie Chahwan, a lawyer for the Ben Aissa family in Montreal, said in a telephone interview yesterday that he couldn’t immediately comment on the Quebec case against Riadh Ben Aissa.
Investors who bought company securities from November 2009 to February 2012 have accused SNC and executives including Duhaime of “misrepresentations” regarding internal controls, and 2010 net income, in class-action lawsuits certified in Ontario and Quebec.
SNC plans “a vigorous defense,” Quinton said in an e- mailed statement. “We have always published information appropriately and accurately, following regulatory requirements and best practices regarding timely corporate disclosure.”
Potential penalties stemming from the various lawsuits probably won’t exceed C$360 million in the worst-case scenario, according to Yuri Lynk, an analyst at Canaccord Genuity in Montreal. Lynk based his analysis on a study of past bribery cases in Canada and the U.S.
SNC had C$1.1 billion of cash as of Sept. 30, according to a Nov. 2 filing.
Just as encouraging for investors, new business is continuing to roll in. SNC-Lavalin had a backlog of C$9.9 billion as of Sept. 30, compared with C$10.1 billion at the end of last year.
Excluding some costs and gains, SNC is expected to earn C$2.17 a share in 2013, up from an estimated C$1.59 last year, according to the average of estimates in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.
SNC said Jan. 31 that a group of companies it leads signed an agreement with British Columbia to design, build and finance the Evergreen Line rapid transit project in Vancouver --a project estimated to cost C$889 million.
“Their performance in the fall and winter time was quite robust,” said Johnson at National Bank Financial. “People want to continue to see big contract wins, just as they’ll want to see what they do with the cash if they monetize any of their assets.”
One investor continuing to back the company is Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec, Canada’s second-biggest pension fund manager. The Caisse owned 8.9 million SNC-Lavalin shares as of the end of 2011, according to its most recent annual report. That would represent about 5.9 percent of outstanding shares, the second-most among the company’s institutional investors.
SNC “is a company filled with potential,” Caisse CEO Michael Sabia said Jan. 29 at a press briefing in Montreal. “This is a time when a long-term investor like La Caisse needs to help that company build a bridge to a different future.”
Sabia said he’s encouraged by the company’s Dec. 13 announcement that some directors won’t be standing for re- election this year. Those directors will be identified in the management information circular filed before the 2013 annual meeting, the company said.
“That board is moving, there’s a new CEO in place, the CEO is beginning to do things,” Sabia said. “I know that now SNC- Lavalin is tarnished because of what’s happened, but you can’t lose the forest for the trees.”
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