Crude Oil Options Fall With Futures After Gaza Cease-Fire
Crude oil options volatility declined with the underlying futures after Hamas said a draft accord for a cease-fire that would end fighting between Israel and Palestinian groups in the Gaza Strip is almost ready.
Implied volatility for at-the-money options expiring in January, a measure of expected price swings in futures and a gauge of options prices, was 27.95 as of 4:20 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down from 28.91 yesterday.
Crude oil for January delivery declined $2.53 to $86.75 a barrel on the Nymex, the biggest decrease since Nov. 7. The contract surged to $89.28 yesterday, the highest settlement price since Oct. 19.
The conflict in Gaza threatens further instability in the Middle East and North Africa after a wave of uprisings since Last year, including one in Libya that almost entirely cut the nation’s crude exports. The region accounted for 36 percent of global oil output and held 52 percent of proved reserves in 2011, according to BP Plc (BP)’s Statistical Review of World Energy.
The most active options in electronic trading today were January $80 puts, which gained 13 cents to 42 cents a barrel on volume of 4,635 lots at 4:59 p.m. January $95 calls were the second-most active, with 2,489 lots exchanged as they fell 45 cents to 39 cents a barrel.
Bets that prices would rise, or calls, accounted for 49 percent of the 52,235 lots traded.
The exchange distributes real-time data for electronic trading and releases information the next business day on open- outcry volume, where the bulk of options activity occurs.
In the previous session, bullish bets made up 58 percent of the 192,293.
January $105 calls were the most actively traded options yesterday with 19,279 contracts. They rose 3 cents to 21 cents a barrel. January $102 calls rose 4 cents to 28 cents on volume of 16,812.
Open interest was highest for January $105 calls, with 53,858 contracts. Next were January $110 calls with 38,540 lots and January $60 puts with 34,935.
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