Oil Drops to Six-Month Low on Rising Stockpiles, Greece
Oil dropped to the lowest price in more than six months in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles increased and talks to form a coalition government in Greece collapsed, raising concern the region’s debt crisis will worsen.
West Texas Intermediate futures slid as much as 2 percent, declining for a fourth day. U.S. inventories rose 6.6 million barrels last week, data from the American Petroleum Institute indicated. A government report today is projected to show a gain of 1.8 million, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Greece will schedule new elections as early as June 10, which German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said will be a referendum on whether the country stays in the euro.
“Demand destruction is back on the agenda,” said Jonathan Barratt, chief executive of Barratt’s Bulletin, a commodity-markets newsletter in Sydney. “The market is going to remain weak over the next month or so until we get some clarity of what’s happening in the world. The Greek turmoil is a problem.”
Crude for June delivery decreased as much as $1.85 to $92.13 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest intraday price since Nov. 3. It was at $92.21 at 2:33 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, the contract fell 0.8 percent to $93.98. Prices are 6.7 percent lower this year.
Brent oil for June settlement, which expires today, slipped 1.2 percent to $110.85 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The more-actively traded July future retreated 1.3 percent to $110.05. The front-month price for the European benchmark contract was at a premium to WTI of $18.61, after closing at $18.26 yesterday, the widest gap since April 13.
Oil in New York has long-term technical support at $89.83 a barrel, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. On the weekly chart, that’s the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the fall to $32.40 in December 2008 from a record high of $147.27 in July that year. Buy orders tend to be clustered near chart-support levels. Futures last traded at that price in November 2011.
Crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange, rose 2.8 million barrels last week to a record 46.9 million barrels, according to the industry-funded API.
The reversal of the Seaway pipeline tomorrow to move crude away from the storage hub at Cushing for the first time may do little to ease the glut that has kept WTI below Brent for an unprecedented 21 months, according to Citigroup Inc. and Barclays Plc.
The line’s capacity of 150,000 barrels a day won’t make much difference to stockpiles amid “really heavy” refinery maintenance, said Amrita Sen, a London-based analyst at Barclays. Supplies will rise as production surges, Ed Morse, global head of commodities research at Citigroup in New York, said in an April 16 note.
U.S. gasoline stockpiles dropped 2.6 million barrels last week, the API said. They are forecast to fall 100,000 barrels in today’s Energy Department report, according to the median estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Distillate inventories, a category that includes diesel and heating oil, slid 1.6 million barrels compared with a projected 150,000 barrel gain.
The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines. The government requires that reports be filed with the Energy Department for its weekly survey.
Post-election attempts to form a government in Greece broke down yesterday after nine days as President Karolos Papoulias failed to broker a coalition in meetings with party leaders in Athens. New elections may be held next month. Four surveys have given the lead to the anti-bailout Syriza party that says it would tear up the conditions attached to 240 billion euros ($306 billion) of aid.
The euro weakened to an almost four-month low, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of the European single currency.
New York crude has dropped 17 percent since March 1, when concern that Western sanctions against Iran would disrupt Middle East supplies helped drive prices to $110.55 a barrel, the high for the year. Brent has fallen 14 percent since reaching $128.40 the same day.
Iran and International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors extended a round of negotiations over the Persian Gulf nation’s nuclear program after two days of talks ended in Vienna yesterday with both sides saying progress had been made. IAEA inspectors will meet again with their Iranian counterparts on May 21 in the Austrian capital.
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