Obama Aims for Middle East Agreement to Counter Iran by Stabilizing Region
President Barack Obama leads Israel and the Palestinian Authority into direct talks starting tomorrow aiming for a big prize: a peace deal that will help stabilize the region and thwart Iran’s bid to expand its influence.
Obama is bringing Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu together in Washington to seek agreement on security and territorial issues that lie at the heart of their dispute and have defied solution over two decades of negotiation.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has provided openings for regimes seeking to exploit Arab anger for their own purposes, and a resolution could put an end to such maneuvers, said State Department spokesman Philip J. Crowley.
“Iraq in the past and Iran in the present have tried to take advantage of the Middle East conflict to use that sense of grievance” to promote their regional interests, Crowley said in an interview. A peace deal “offers the prospect of a much more integrated, much more constructive region in the future.”
In the near term, Obama will have to find a way around a disagreement over Israeli plans to end a 10-month freeze on West Bank settlement construction that threatens to derail the talks just as they begin.
Right of Return
And ultimately, a peace deal will have to resolve core issues including the borders of a Palestinian state, the right of return for Palestinian refugees, the status of Jerusalem and security arrangements for Israel.
The Palestinian and Israeli leaders meet the president and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton today for bilateral meetings at the White House. Obama and Clinton will also meet separately with Jordan’s King Abdullah and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. The official schedule ends with a White House dinner for the two delegations at 8 p.m.
Netanyahu told Clinton there is no change in his Cabinet’s decision to end the construction freeze, according to a statement released today by the prime minister’s office.
The Israeli leader said settlements were part of a final agreement and shouldn’t be dealt with at the beginning of direct talks, according to the statement. And he issued a warning to Palestinians who have said the talks shouldn’t proceed unless the freeze is continued.
“We came here to find a real solution without preconditions,” Netanyahu said, according to the statement. “Therefore, there’s no room for abandoning the talks over an issue that can be raised in the framework of negotiations for a permanent settlement.”
The difficulty of achieving an agreement was underscored yesterday when four Israelis, including a pregnant woman, were shot dead near the settlement of Kiryat Arba as Netanyahu flew to Washington. The armed wing of Hamas, the Islamic movement that rules the Gaza Strip, claimed responsibility, and the Obama administration condemned the attack.
Palestinian security services arrested about 150 Hamas activists in the West Bank after the settler killings, Hamas said in an e-mailed statement today.
Settler leaders said they would respond to the attack by breaking the building moratorium and starting construction today on new homes in dozens of settlements across the West Bank, including Kiryat Arba.
At the outset, the Washington talks won’t address such fundamental issues as borders and Jerusalem, said a U.S. administration official who spoke on condition of anonymity. The White House goal this week is to have both sides accept Obama’s one-year deadline for an agreement and set out the steps needed to meet that deadline, the official said.
Abbas said that the two sides may even beat Obama’s goal.
“One year is very long,” Abbas told the Ramallah-based Al-Ayyam newspaper during an interview in Washington that was published today.
The Israeli government sees the one-year target for a final agreement as achievable, said an Israeli official yesterday, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The talks start the day after a Baghdad ceremony to mark the declared end of the U.S. combat role in Iraq. Obama needs stability in Iraq as he redirects U.S. forces to Afghanistan in a widening effort to subdue the Taliban.
Dennis Ross, Obama’s Middle East adviser on the National Security Council and formerly President Bill Clinton’s top negotiator in the region, has said a peace agreement would help counter Iran. The U.S. suspects Iran is trying to develop a nuclear arms capability.
“Clearly one way that Iran is increasing its influence in the region is by exploiting the ongoing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians,” Ross said May 5 in an address to the Anti-Defamation League, a New York-based organization created to fight anti-Semitism.
Iran backs the Shiite Hezbollah movement in Lebanon, which fought a monthlong war with Israel in 2006, and Hamas, which won Palestinian elections that year and seized control of Gaza after routing the Fatah forces of the U.S.-backed Abbas in 2007. The U.S. and Israel consider both Hamas and Hezbollah to be terrorist organizations.
Sealing a peace deal would also bolster U.S. credibility in Turkey and in Arab states like Saudi Arabia, said David Rothkopf, a visiting scholar and author at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington.
Middle East envoy George Mitchell said in a briefing yesterday that once the summit ends, Netanyahu and Abbas should have direct contact and meet every two weeks.
Obama won’t stand on “some distant sideline cheering the parties on,” and has “been engaged personally from the very beginning,” Mitchell said.
Negotiating teams would work intensely on issues including water and borders, according to another Israeli official.
Former Israeli negotiators say Obama’s goal of a comprehensive peace deal is unrealistic. Yossi Beilin, who negotiated the 1993 Oslo Accords, said the sides are too far apart and should aim instead for a partial agreement to avoid violence that might follow a breakdown of the talks.
Zalman Shoval, who heads an advisory forum on Israel-U.S. relations for Netanyahu, says the sides should reach agreement on a Palestinian state within provisional borders or find some other formula that would give the Palestinians “self- governance” and leave the most difficult issues to be negotiated later.
The looming expiration of the Israeli settlement freeze will provide an early test for the negotiators.
Netanyahu told ministers from his Likud party on Aug. 29 that the Cabinet decision to resume building after Sept. 26 was unchanged. Hours later, Abbas said on state-run Palestine Satellite Television that “Israel will be responsible for the failure of the talks if it continues expanding settlements.”
“There’s the potential to end up dealing with crisis after crisis, just as you’re trying to disengage with Iraq and deal with Iran and Afghanistan,” Telhami said.