Donald Trump has a 78 percent chance of winning the Republican presidential nomination and a 26 percent chance of being named the next U.S. president, according to probabilities calculated from odds on a betting exchange owned by U.K. bookmaker Paddy Power Betfair Plc. Marco Rubio is second-favorite to win his party’s vote with a 16 percent chance. Still, Hillary Clinton is overwhelming favorite to succeed Barack Obama as president. Her chances of winning are 63 percent, according to the odds.
This story originally appeared in the Economics Brief.