Canada Post-Election Coalition Could Be Stable, Nanos Says

A political arrangement between Canada’s Liberals and New Democratic Party could prove to be enduring following the Oct. 19 election, pollster Nik Nanos said.

The two opposition parties may come to some understanding that would allow the side with the most seats to form a government with the support of the other. An agenda could be focused on areas where the two agree, such as electoral reform, Nanos said.

“A parliamentary arrangement where they would introduce legislation that would probably be targeted at turning back the clock on certain things that the Conservatives have done,” Nanos said Wednesday at Bloomberg LIVE’s Canadian fixed income conference in New York.

A close three-way race has emerged in the campaign that makes it unlikely one party will win enough districts to form a majority government.

Polls have shown Stephen Harper’s Conservative Party is on track to win the most seats in Canada’s legislature but not a majority. With his two major challengers pledging not to support his government, it sets up a standoff after voting day with few firm rules on how quickly things will settle.

“It can actually be quite stable in the short to intermediate term once it goes through the shopping list of the few things they can all agree on,” Nanos said of a possible coalition.

“It’s unlikely that there will be an appetite for another election,” he said.

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