New Zealand’s NIWA Says El Nino Expected To Persist Into Spring

National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research comments in statement.

  • El Nino event is now under way in the tropical Pacific
  • Pacific trade winds weakened substantially and the Southern Oscillation Index dropped below -1, indicating coupling had been achieved between the warmer sea surface temperatures and the overlying atmospheric circulation: NIWA
  • International guidance indicates that El Nino conditions are a 90% chance to continue over June – August
  • Likelihood of El Nino persisting or strengthening as we reach into spring is above 80%

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