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Micex Gains as Putin Orders Troop Pullback: Russia Reality Check

As markets react in real time to Russia’s incursion into Crimea and the annexation of the Black Sea peninsula, stocks rallied to the highest level since February as President Vladimir Putin ordered troops back from the Ukrainian border.

The Micex Index gained 0.8 percent to 1,425.58, trimming its drop since Putin’s intervention in Ukraine on March 1 to 1.3 percent. Soldiers in three Russian regions bordering Ukraine have started to return to their bases, state television in Moscow said. NATO and the U.S. haven’t confirmed the pullback.

The chart shows the performance of stocks, bonds and the ruble, along with indicators of Russian investment risk. The currency rose 0.1 percent to 34.5315 per dollar, extending gains since Feb. 28 to 3.9 percent. The yield on local-currency bonds due February 2027 declined six basis points to 8.89 percent, paring the increase in the period to 53 basis points.

The top panel displays the value of the Micex Index of 50 Russian equities, government debt in the Bloomberg Russia Local Sovereign Bond Index, and the ruble relative to the dollar. Credit default swap rates on Russian bonds due in five years appear in the bottom panel. The yield gap between Russian debt and U.S. Treasuries and the one-month implied volatility of the ruble are also tracked.

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