Global personal-computer shipments will decline more than previously forecast this year as consumers in emerging markets follow those in developed countries in shifting to mobile devices, IDC said.
Unit sales will drop 9.7 percent in 2013, the Framingham, Massachusetts-based researcher said today in a statement. That compares with a May projection for a 7.8 decline. The market will shrink until 2015, when it is estimated to post “modest” gains at a percentage in the single digits, IDC said.
Even a return to higher shipments won’t deliver the peak sales levels reached in 2011, the researcher said. China and other emerging economies, where growth had been compensating for declining sales in developed markets, are now contracting at a faster rate than mature regions.
Chinese unit shipments will decline by double digits this year amid an accumulation of inventory and persistent customer interest in smartphones and tablets, according to IDC.
Worldwide, IDC is predicting 315.4 million PCs will be shipped this year, down from 349.2 million last year. It estimates the market will reach 319.8 million units by 2017.
Earlier today, IDC trimmed its forecast for tablet-computer sales through 2017 as larger smartphones and wearable technology, such as Google Inc.’s Glass, also compete for consumers’ attention. Tablet shipments are still estimated to increase 58 percent this year, and unit sales will reach almost 407 million by 2017, IDC said.