May 21 (Bloomberg) -- The New York Giants are the oddsmakers’ favorite to win their division next season, while the New York Jets are picked to share last place.
The Giants, who missed the National Football League playoffs last season with a 9-7 record, will match that win total in 2013, based on a consensus average of Las Vegas sportsbooks compiled by RJ Bell of Pregame.com.
The Washington Redskins won the National Football Conference’s East last season with a 10-6 record. Both Washington and the Dallas Cowboys are expected to win eight games in 2013, while the Philadelphia Eagles’ win total is expected to be seven under first-year coach Chip Kelly, according to Bell.
Washington quarterback Robert Griffin III had surgery on his right knee in January after injuring ligaments in a playoff loss to the Seattle Seahawks. The 2012 Pro Bowl player’s injury is “no doubt a downward influence on Washington’s win total,” Bell said in an e-mail.
“Whenever there is significant uncertainty, the betting market estimates chances and evaluates each, arriving at a weighted conclusion -- an approach quite similar to arbitraging bids for public companies,” Bell said. “Las Vegas values Washington without RG3, with a slowed down RG3, and with a fully healthy RG3, weights the probabilities and arrives at a conclusion.”
Griffin may be ready for Washington’s Sept. 9 season opener against Philadelphia, the Redskins said after his surgery. No team has repeated as NFC East champion since 2004, when the Eagles won for the fourth straight time.
The San Francisco 49ers, who lost the Super Bowl last season to the Baltimore Ravens, and the Denver Broncos each are expected to win 11.5 games in 2013, the most in the NFL. The odds allow gamblers to bet on whether teams finish over or under the total offered by bookmakers.
The Jets and Buffalo Bills tied for last place in the American Football Conference East last season with 6-10 records. Both clubs are listed at 6.5 wins for next season, even after the Jets traded All-Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last month. That move lengthened New York’s odds of winning the Super Bowl to 100-1 from 50-1, meaning a successful $10 bet on the Jets to win their first title since the 1968 season would net $1,000.
Below are the average projected win totals for all 32 NFL teams, listed with division winners and playoff qualifiers based solely on win total projections.
San Francisco 49ers 11.5 (NFC West winner) Denver Broncos 11.5 (AFC West winner) New England Patriots 11 (AFC East winner) Seattle Seahawks 10.5 (#1 NFC wildcard) Houston Texans 10 (AFC South winner) Green Bay Packers 10 (AFC North winner) Atlanta Falcons 10 (NFC South winner) New Orleans Saints 9 (#2 NFC wildcard) Pittsburgh Steelers 9 (AFC North winner) New York Giants 9 (NFC East winner) Baltimore Ravens 8.5 (#1 AFC wildcard) Chicago Bears 8.5 Indianapolis Colts 8.5 (#2 AFC wildcard) Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 Dallas Cowboys 8 Washington Redskins 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 Miami Dolphins 7.5 Minnesota Vikings 7.5 Detroit Lions 7.5 San Diego Chargers 7.5 Kansas City Chiefs 7.5 St. Louis Rams 7 Carolina Panthers 7 Philadelphia Eagles 7 Tennessee Titans 6.5 New York Jets 6.5 Buffalo Bills 6.5 Cleveland Browns 6 Oakland Raiders 5.5 Arizona Cardinals 5 Jacksonville Jaguars 5
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