India’s 10-year bonds fell the most in a month as the government reported an unexpected pickup in economic growth.
Gross domestic product rose 5.5 percent in the three months through June from a year earlier, exceeding the 5.2 percent gain estimated in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Asia’s third-largest economy expanded 5.3 percent in the previous quarter. Reserve Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao left the benchmark repurchase rate unchanged at 8 percent for a second meeting in July to curb inflation.
“The data has quelled any expectation of immediate monetary easing,” said Killol Pandya, the Mumbai-based head of fixed-income investments at the local unit of Daiwa Asset Management Co. “The hawkish policy tone may continue.”
The yield on the 8.15 percent notes due June 2022 rose five basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to 8.24 percent in Mumbai, according to the central bank’s trading system. The drop is the biggest since July 31 and pares the monthly gain to one basis point. The yield on benchmark 10-year notes dropped 33 basis points this year.
The Reserve Bank of India last cut the repurchase rate by 50 basis points in April. The next policy review is scheduled for Sept. 17.
Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn said on Aug. 19 that inflation is currently the main threat to India’s economy. The consumer-price index rose 9.86 percent from a year earlier in July, compared with a revised 9.93 percent gain in June, the Central Statistical Office said this month.
One-year interest-rate swaps, or derivative contracts used to guard against fluctuations in funding costs, rose five basis points today to 7.82 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.