July 8 (Bloomberg) -- History suggests that Derek Jeter’s 3,000th hit for the New York Yankees will be a single. Oddsmakers overwhelmingly agree.
Jeter is two hits shy of becoming the 28th player in Major League Baseball history to reach the 3,000-hit mark after getting a double in last night’s loss at Yankee Stadium against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Seventeen of the previous 27 players with 3,000 career hits reached the mark with a single and 79 percent of Jeter’s hits this season have been singles. That’s led sports gambling website Bodog to set 1-4 odds Jeter will be celebrating at first base after his milestone hit.
“You think about it just because everywhere you go there’s signs and people mention it,” Jeter said after getting his 2,998th hit leading off last night.
Three of Jeter’s four hits since coming off the disabled list on July 4 have been doubles. The odds of his 3,000th hit being a double are 4-1, according to Antigua-based Bodog. Seven players have reached the 3,000-hit milestone with doubles, most recently Rafael Palmeiro with the Baltimore Orioles in 2005.
“I feel pretty good,” Jeter said last night. “I’ve driven a few balls, which is always a good sign.”
The only player in major-league history to hit a home run for his 3,000th hit was former Yankee Wade Boggs, who did it in 1999 while with Tampa Bay. Jeter has two homers in 280 at-bats this season and Bodog set 10-1 odds of a home run being hit No. 3,000 for the Yankees’ captain.
Odds of Jeter reaching the mark with a triple are 15-1, meaning a winning $10 bet would return $150 plus the initial wager. Paul Molitor was the only player with a triple as his 3,000th career hit, in 1996 for the Minnesota Twins.
The details of Cap Anson’s 3,000th hit aren’t known, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. Anson played in the late 1800s and is credited as the first player to reach 3,000.
Jeter would be the first player to do it as a member of the Yankees and the first to reach 3,000 while playing shortstop as his only defensive position.
Jeter, who turned 37 on June 26, could also become the fourth-youngest player to reach the mark.
Ty Cobb was the youngest, at 34, while Hank Aaron and Robin Yount got their 3,000th hits at 36. Pete Rose, baseball’s all-time leader with 4,256 hits, got No. 3,000 21 days after his 37th birthday.
Bodog is also offering odds on who will congratulate Jeter first after the milestone hit and whether the entire Yankee team will come out of the dugout to celebrate with him.
The Yankees and Rays play Game 2 of their four-game series tonight.
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