The global market for mergers and acquisitions may have “relatively strong” growth next year as corporate earnings recover, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s German head said.
“We expect the global M&A transactions volume to grow 10 percent to 15 percent in the mid-term,” Alexander Dibelius, Goldman Sachs’s head of operations in Germany and Austria as well as Russia and central and eastern Europe, told journalists yesterday. The volume may increase 8 percent to 12 percent in 2011 “if there are no major market dislocations,” he said.
The M&A market worldwide has increased 11 percent this year to $1.95 trillion from 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. New York-based Goldman Sachs has been the second-biggest adviser in 2010 after Morgan Stanley, the data showed.
Dibelius said higher corporate earnings, improved business outlooks and expansion in emerging markets such as Brazil, Russia, India and China will drive M&A growth in the mid-term, a period he defined as three to five years. Emerging markets accounted for 43 percent of the global deal volume this year, up from 27 percent in 2007, while the volume in Germany fell to 3 percent from 7 percent of the total, according to Dibelius.
The market for initial public offerings will also “recover significantly next year,” helped by equity funds that are seeing money inflows again, he said. “The IPOs in our pipeline indicate a clear improvement in this area.”