When French President Nicolas Sarkozy hosts his Russian and German counterparts for talks on European security today, Europe’s second-biggest energy partner with Moscow won’t be there.
Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi wasn’t invited.
A guest at Vladimir Putin’s private birthday bash this month, the Italian prime minister has been a pioneer among European Union leaders in forging ties with energy-rich Russia, Central Asia and Libya. While his personal diplomacy is paying dividends for companies such as Eni SpA, it’s rankled some allies while failing to win Italy a place at the table with France and Germany, the traditional EU power brokers.
“Compared with a few years ago, Italy is punching below its weight at the European Union and in global organizations in general,” said Raffaello Matarazzo, a scholar at the Istituto Affari Internazionali, a Rome-based research institute. “Italy had Romano Prodi as European Commission president, Renato Ruggiero as World Trade Organization head and others like Mario Monti in important EU roles. Now, Italy’s got almost no one.”
Berlusconi, 74, often takes credit for key achievements abroad, which the opposition says he exaggerates. In remarks last month to the Senate in Rome, he said he had helped end the financial crisis by persuading former President George W. Bush to bail out Wall Street. He also said he’d used his friendship with Putin to stop the 2008 Russia-Georgia war, preventing Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili from being “hanged from the highest tree.”
Italy’s Foreign Ministry didn’t reply to questions about why Berlusconi wasn’t included in the meeting.
Last year, Italy failed to secure its candidates for two major EU jobs. Five years after Prodi left as EU commissioner to re-enter Italian politics, Mario Mauro was defeated in his bid to become president of the European Parliament, while former Premier Massimo D’Alema didn’t get the post of foreign policy chief. This year is unlikely to prove better, with Italy winning just one of 29 senior jobs in the EU diplomatic corps, the European External Action Service, after applying for 13.
“If you don’t get your people into the key jobs, then you’re less likely to take part in the key decisions in the future,” said Christopher Hill, a professor of international relations at Cambridge University. “It’s a compound effect.”
Energy on Agenda
Sarkozy called the summit today in the resort of Deauville to discuss “partnership in all areas and security” with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, according to a Sept. 27 statement. While energy was on the agenda and Italy has key gas and oil ties with Russia, Berlusconi wasn’t asked to attend as other European leaders also would have had to be invited, said a French official who couldn’t be identified due to policy rules.
Medvedev told reporters in Deauville today that he will attend a NATO summit in Lisbon next month. Berlusconi, meeting with the Russian president last month, said he had laid the groundwork for bringing NATO and Russia closer through a deal reached in 2002 at a summit near Rome. “I wrote the agreement myself,” he said in Yaroslavl, Russia, on Sept. 10.
France and Germany wanted to use today’s talks to show their alliance “continues, and continues at the EU level,” said Francois Lafond, director of the German Marshall Fund of the United States in Paris. Berlusconi’s exclusion from the talks may also be due to his own diplomatic conduct, he said.
Against the Current
“He has good relations with Russian leaders, but he takes such initiatives on his own,” Lafond said. “Maybe Berlusconi is paying for his attitude and way of managing the country.”
NATO member Italy has long run against the western current in reaching out to Russia, a policy that has generated lucrative contracts as well as criticism from allies, whether conducted by Berlusconi or his predecessor, Prodi. Italy’s gas and oil trade with Russia is second only to Germany’s in Europe, EU data show.
Berlusconi spent two days with Putin at an undisclosed location near St. Petersburg, discussing energy and trade and celebrating the Russian premier’s birthday, his spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a conference call on Oct. 7, Italian news agency Ansa reported.
Italy has “succumbed to a race-to-Moscow mentality that has undermined American and European interests,” said Stephen Sestanovich, who served as special adviser on the former Soviet republics to former U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright.
Eni has been a key policy driver. Italy’s biggest energy company was a Cold War pioneer, signing its first contract in the Soviet Union in 1958. It built on those ties after 1991 to forge a broad partnership with OAO Gazprom including the South Stream pipeline, a rival of the Nabucco project backed by the U.S. and the EU to lessen reliance on Russia. Eni has also expanded into Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, whose leader visited Rome last year in a rare foray to Europe.
Under Berlusconi Italy also forged a historic treaty with Libya in 2008 that paved the way for 25 billion euros ($35 billion) in Eni projects in the North African nation over the next decade and Libyan stakes that total 7.6 percent of the shares in UniCredit SpA, Italy’s biggest bank.
“What are the metrics for success for his personal diplomacy?” said Heather Conley, director of the Europe Program at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Is there evidence of increasing commercial ties? If so, then he has been very successful.”