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Sugar Climbs on Pakistan-Demand Speculation; Coffee Declines

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Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Sugar prices rose in New York after Pakistan formed a panel to report on imports of the sweetener to alleviate a shortage estimated at 1.2 million metric tons next year. Arabica coffee fell.

The panel will make its assessment on overseas purchases within a week, the Industries Ministry in Islamabad said in a statement. Floods destroyed 200,000 acres of sugar cane, a farm group in the South Asian nation said last month.

Pakistan, which consumes about 4 million tons of sugar a year, has “a natural deficit as it is,” said James Kirkup, the head of sugar broking at ABN Amro Markets (U.K.) Ltd. in London. “There’s losses due to the floods.”

Raw sugar futures for March delivery climbed 0.51 cent, or 2.2 percent, to settle at 23.24 cents a pound at 2 p.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. Prices are headed for a sixth weekly gain.

In London, refined sugar for December delivery added $15, or 2.5 percent, to $608.20 a ton on NYSE Liffe.

Arabica coffee for December delivery declined 2.35 cents, or 1.2 percent, to $1.918 a pound on ICE. That was the third drop this week.

Robusta coffee for November delivery climbed $24, or 1.5 percent, to $1,653 a ton on NYSE Liffe, after touching $1,671, the highest price since Sept. 8.

Supply Shortage

Robusta coffee rose because of a supply shortage ahead of the harvest in Vietnam, which usually starts in November. The country, the largest grower of the beans, will produce about 20 million bags, the same as in the previous year according to Andrea Thompson, an analyst at CoffeeNetwork in Belfast, Northern Ireland.

“There is a window of six weeks” before the harvest, Thompson said. “People are waiting for new estimates of the 2010-11 season.”

In addition, Indonesia’s harvest has been delayed by rains, Thompson said.

For the 2010-11 season starting Oct. 1, robusta and arabica production will top demand, CoffeeNetwork estimates. In the current season, arabica was in shortage and robusta had a surplus, Thompson said. Indonesia’s harvest will rise to 9.4 million bags from 9 million bags in 2009-10 and India’s crop will swell to 5.1 million bags from 4.9 million bags, she said.

A bag of coffee weight 60 kilograms (132 pounds).

To contact the reporter on this story: Claudia Carpenter in London at ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net; Debarati Roy in New York at droy5@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Steve Stroth at sstroth@bloomberg.net

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