As New York City heads into Fashion Week, Khajak Keledjian, chief executive of Intermix, a privately held chain of boutiques, isn't worried about the current economic crunch. In fact, despite reports of consumers tightening their designer belts, he projects his clothing and accessory sales will climb to about $100 million for 2008. He also is adding four stores to the 20 he already operates in cities such as New York, Miami, and Los Angeles. Recently he expanded his flagship store on Madison Avenue and 77th Street in Manhattan by about 1,500 square feet.
At a time when well-known designers such as Tommy Hilfiger have delayed taking their companies public (BusinessWeek.com, 1/25/08) because of economic concerns and sales are down at retailers such as Saks (SKS), Coach (COH), and Nordstrom (JWN), Keledjian's confidence is even more noteworthy. Unlike these larger players, Intermix's operations remain both relatively small and highly localized. His stores are situated in hip neighborhoods, and his price tags aren't too outrageous: While it is possible to find a dress that costs $1,200 at an Intermix store, there also are plenty of $175 jeans and $58 T-shirts. And, unlike bigger stores, he doesn't sell big-name designers, preferring smaller, hipper labels—such as Yigal Azrouel, Imitation of Christ, Catherine Malandrino, and Theory—many of which got their first real exposure through Intermix.
"We're a fashion-forward company, and each season we try to please customers with new trends," says Keledjian, who founded the company in 1993. "They don't come in because they need new clothes; they just want to buy what they love."
Specifically selling trends may not be a novel concept, but it is one that seems to work well for retailers in the $196 billion U.S. apparel industry, according to Port Washington (N.Y.) NPD Group. Other mini-chains that have profited from this approach include Calypso, Scoop, and Fred Segal in Santa Monica, where celebrities such as the Olsen Twins and Lindsay Lohan are known to shop.
When credit was easy to come by, many established labels such as Salvatore Ferragamo and Hermès (HRMS) were able to expand their base to include consumers who may not previously have had the access or the money to buy their products. As luxury designers began building more stores and retail locations, sales exploded.
But the concern is that those shoppers who were giddily paying for a $6,000 Birkin bag using money from their home equity loan have now had to cut up their credit cards. If sales slip as much as many analysts predict, these retailers will need to pull in their horns and close up their less profitable stores. Hermès, to use just one example, has 24 stores in the U.S., many of which were added only in the past decade, and more than 40 in Japan. Smaller retailers such as Intermix won't feel the downturn quite so acutely because they aren't as exposed.
But it's not just small boutique chains that advocate selling less well-known brands. Don't go to Henri Bendel looking for the latest from Chanel or Giorgio Armani. The whole point of the Fifth Avenue department store, which is owned by Limited Brands (LTD), is to skew younger, fresher, and, frankly, cheaper. The ability to connect with its clientele is the reason the store's vice-president and fashion director, Ann Watson, says Henri Bendel was highly productive during the 2007 holiday season, while other retailers were not. "We have established ourselves as a store that is constantly looking at the new and next in fashion and accessories, so our customer has come to view us as a reliable source in merchandise that reflects the current trend," she says.
So just what are the current fashion trends for 2008? At Henri Bendel, three major looks are hitting the sales floors for the next six months. First there's the look Watson calls "Boho Lux," which includes light-washed denim, tribal and safari prints, and blouses and dresses with tiered ruffles. Next is "Garden of Eden," and though that might normally conjure up images of a naked Adam and Eve, this trend includes oversize floral prints and soft, chiffon dresses instead of strategically placed leaves. Last is the "70s Revival," which will add a little tie-dye and fringe back into the wardrobe in rich, luxurious fabrics and colors. "And if there is one must-have item this season," Watson says, "it's a long day dress [to wear] with sandals, not heels."
Another fashion trend sure to attract consumers in need of a pick-me-up is the resurgence of color. "When you look at the collections like the collaboration of Richard Prince with Marc Jacobs for Louis Vuitton—those bags are in turquoise blues, golden yellows, vivid oranges, and red, so I think colors are going to be important," says celebrity stylist Robert Verdi, who works closely with Desperate Housewives star Eva Longoria.
A Shot of Color
And it won't be one single wardrobe piece getting a color lift this season. According to Tom Julian, director of trends at advertising agency McCann Erickson, bright yellows, oranges, blues, and reds will be seen across the board in accessories, dresses, coats, and even in menswear. "Spring 2008 is going to have to jump in the stores in order to get people to buy. There are going to be more economic challenges, and people are going to say I don't necessarily need that right now. A shot of color is different and stands out enough."
Keledjian says Intermix is going for a "safari chic" look, selling army green handbags and khaki vests, as well as floral prints, tie dye, and lots of feminine frocks to fit the overall fashion mood of the moment. "There's lots of bright colors, lots of bohemian styles, and military men-inspired looks that we're selling now."
Of course, not everyone has to have the latest trend to look good in their clothing. Although Project Runway's Tim Gunn, chief creative officer of Liz Claiborne (LIZ), concedes there are some pieces that will be staples in every fashionista's wardrobe this year, such as flat shoes, he says he has "an issue with trends" because they are not made for everyone. "I really believe that women need to resonate to the things they look good in and stick by them. You need to wear what you're really comfortable in."
It sounds nice, but then shopping just wouldn't be as much fun. To see more of the fashion trends for 2008, check out the BusinessWeek.com slide show.