Roughly one-third of the American public approves of George Bush's job performance and likes the way he has handled Social Security. A larger bloc -- nearly half the population -- is hard-core anti-Bush. These voters dislike the President and oppose his plan to create private Social Security investment accounts. In the middle are the one in six Americans who approve of Bush's overall job performance but are uncomfortable with his approach to Social Security. These are the Safety Net swing voters. Who are these people?
Most of them are white men. They tend to be socially conservative and patriotic. They're more likely to have backed the invasion of Iraq and to attend religious services regularly. They make an average income and are slightly less educated than the average American. The largest group is moderate Republicans, though many are conservative Republicans, Independents, and blue-collar Reagan Democrats.
Here's a numerical snapshot of the Safety Net Swing Voters. The larger the gap, the more of these people in the electorate.
|Group||Bush Job Approval||Bush Soc. Sec. Approval||The Gap|
|High school education||46%||27%||19%|
|Supporter of war in Iraq||79%||50%||29%|
Source: The Pew Research Center for the People and the Press