PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 2/12 thous. of net tons 2,065 2,057# 5.1

AUTOS 2/12 units 96,360 94,039r# 3.7

TRUCKS 2/12 units 167,884 167,742r# 1.0

ELECTRIC POWER 2/12 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 73,259 76,700# -6.5

CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/12 thous. of bbl./day 15,279 15,008# 1.6

COAL 2/5 thous. of net tons 21,376# 21,161 6.1

LUMBER 2/5 millions of ft. 372.2# 383.9r 6.8

RAIL FREIGHT 2/5 billions of ton-miles 31.2# 30.3 10.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,

Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/4 1992=100 134.4 133.7 1.7

STOCK PRICES 2/11 S&P 500 1205.3 1203.0 5.2

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/11 5.2% 5.1% -6.2

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/31 billions $6,459.8 $6,451.9 6.0

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/12 thous. 302 304r -13.7

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/12 423.3 444.6 2.3

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/12 2530.1 2430.7 -23.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-

eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 2/16 $/troy oz. 423.100 411.150 2.1

STEEL SCRAP 2/16 #1 heavy, $/ton 195.33 195.33 -1.5

COPPER 2/11 cents/lb. 149.9 149.2 19.5

ALUMINUM 2/11 cents/lb. 90.5 91.2 11.4

COTTON 2/11 strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 45.99 45.90 -27.5

OIL 2/16 $/bbl. 48.03 45.16 38.6

CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/15 1967=100 244.33 244.04 -11.8

CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/15 1967=100 324.45 320.57 4.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin,

Platt's Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/16 2.5780 2.6025 2.9495

BRITISH POUND 2/16 1.89 1.86 1.89

CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/16 1.24 1.25 1.32

EUROPEAN EURO 2/16 1.3029 1.2805 1.2689

JAPANESE YEN 2/16 105.42 105.63 106.75

KOREAN WON 2/16 1027.0 1033.4 1155.6

MEXICAN PESO 2/16 11.146 11.160 10.984

TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/16 89.5 90.1 91.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar

via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/15 2.53% 2.48% 1.02%

COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/14 3-month NA NA 1.01

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/15 3-month 2.76 2.73 1.05

FIXED MORTGAGE 2/11 30-year 5.66 5.73 5.78

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/11 one-year 4.35 4.36 3.70

PRIME 2/15 5.50 5.50 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing

the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include

machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern

Forest Products Assn. no longer included. Historical data has been adjusted.

3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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