By Paul Cherney
We are entering the quarterly confessional season.
Even though end-of-day measures are weakening, momentum measures on price and volume have not deteriorated to levels that shift the odds to favor a short-term trend lower. A consolidation sideways with a negative bias might unfold on Monday, this "guess" is based on the inability of the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq to forcefully move higher, not on any technical measures.
Immediate Nasdaq support remains 1,896-1,876, then 1,868-1,840. If the index moves lower and prints below 1,892.00 for more than 4 minutes without attracting buying interest to move prices higher, then, immediate intraday downside risk for prints 1,883 and lower will increase.
S&P 500 support is 1,123-1,117, which overlaps 1,118-1,113, making the 1,118-1,117 area a focus of support. Next support is 1,110-1,094.
The S&P 500 is testing immediate resistance at 1,123-1,130.33. This year's June price action established more formidable resistance in the 1,129-1,146.34 area, with a focus of resistance 1,132-1,140.
Immediate resistance for the Nasdaq is 1,912-1,933.03, resistance thickens with prints of 1,919 and higher. The next area of well-defined resistance is prints of 1,960 and higher.
Cherney is chief market analyst for Standard & Poor's