PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 8/21 thous. of net tons 1,997 2,006# 15.9 AUTOS 8/21 units 92,099 86,732r# -6.2 TRUCKS 8/21 units 152,629 153,736r# -5.5 ELECTRIC POWER 8/21 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 79,917 79,939# -10.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/21 thous. of bbl./day 16,253 16,110# 5.0 COAL 8/14 thous. of net tons 21,525# 21,096 2.5 LUMBER 8/14 millions of ft. 568.0# 566.3r 7.2 RAIL FREIGHT 8/14 billions of ton-miles 31.1# 30.3 3.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/13 1992=100 131.7 131.4r 3.6 STOCK PRICES 8/20 S&P 500 1098.4 1064.8 10.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/20 5.6% 5.6% -4.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/9 billions $6,273.1 $6,282.9r 2.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/21 thous. 343 333r -13.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/21 443.7 467.1 18.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/21 1824.9 1982.7 -15.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 8/25 $/troy oz. 406.000 402.450 9.4 STEEL SCRAP 8/25 #1 heavy, $/ton 235.00 235.00 97.2 COPPER 8/20 cents/lb. 134.7 132.7 72.6 ALUMINUM 8/20 cents/lb. 84.5 82.5 29.0 COTTON 8/20 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 50.19 47.63 -7.5 OIL 8/25 $/bbl. 43.17 46.93 39.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/24 1967=100 274.25 270.94 15.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/24 1967=100 311.39 307.68 17.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 8/25 2.9546 2.9800 2.9561 BRITISH POUND 8/25 1.80 1.82 1.57 CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/25 1.30 1.30 1.40 EUROPEAN EURO 8/25 1.2083 1.2336 1.0888 JAPANESE YEN 8/25 110.18 109.33 117.41 KOREAN WON 8/25 1156.4 1157.8 1177.9 MEXICAN PESO 8/25 11.380 11.359 10.927 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/25 93.9 93.4 98.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 8/24 1.51% 1.20% 1.00% COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/24 3-month 1.65 1.64 1.04 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/24 3-month 1.71 1.67 1.10 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/20 30-year 5.96 5.99 6.48 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/20 one-year 4.14 4.11 4.10 PRIME 8/24 4.50 4.50 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index; other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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