PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 7/31 thous. of net tons 1,952 1,964# 3.3 AUTOS 7/31 units 92,283 59,749r# -12.3 TRUCKS 7/31 units 151,541 112,634r# 183.8 ELECTRIC POWER 7/31 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 81,391 87,139# -3.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/31 thous. of bbl./day 15,726 15,954# 1.2 COAL 7/24 thous. of net tons 20,914# 20,992 2.5 LUMBER 7/24 millions of ft. 574.8# 555.2r 14.1 RAIL FREIGHT 7/24 billions of ton-miles 30.2# 29.5 2.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/23 1992=100 131.0 131.2 2.8 STOCK PRICES 7/30 S&P 500 1101.7 1086.2 12.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/30 5.8% 5.8% -1.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 7/19 billions $6,286.3 $6,288.0 3.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/31 thous. 336 347r -15.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/31 452.0 444.8 -1.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/31 1600.3 1648.8 -60.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 8/4 $/troy oz. 391.500 387.300 11.1 STEEL SCRAP 8/4 #1 heavy, $/ton 161.00 161.00 47.9 COPPER 7/30 cents/lb. 132.0 133.6 55.3 ALUMINUM 7/30 cents/lb. 82.8 84.5 19.1 COTTON 7/30 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 48.30 51.24 -13.6 OIL 8/4 $/bbl. 42.76 42.82 33.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/3 1967=100 268.77 271.23 16.2 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/3 1967=100 306.69 307.23 16.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 8/4 3.0609 3.0427 3.0525 BRITISH POUND 8/4 1.83 1.82 1.61 CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/4 1.32 1.33 1.40 EUROPEAN EURO 8/4 1.2047 1.2055 1.1334 JAPANESE YEN 8/4 111.13 111.65 120.28 KOREAN WON 8/4 1167.6 1167.3 1185.0 MEXICAN PESO 8/4 11.450 11.431 10.710 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/4 94.4 94.6 98.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 8/3 1.24% 1.27% 1.00% COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/3 3-month 1.55 1.53 1.04 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/3 3-month 1.65 1.61 1.08 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/30 30-year 6.20 6.13 6.08 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/30 one-year 4.26 4.22 5.77 PRIME 8/3 4.25 4.25 4.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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