PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 2/7 thous. of net tons 1,959 1,919# -2.9

AUTOS 2/7 units 93,797 86,504r# 7.9

TRUCKS 2/7 units 166,423 165,764r# 3.0

ELECTRIC POWER 2/7 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 78,916 82,505# 6.3

CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/7 thous. of bbl./day 14,740 14,631# 5.6

COAL 1/31 thous. of net tons 20,337# 21,066 2.0

LUMBER 1/31 millions of ft. 552.2# 550.9r 5.1

RAIL FREIGHT 1/31 billions of ton-miles 28.5# 29.6 1.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,

Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/30 1992=100 132.6 132.8r 10.4

STOCK PRICES 2/6 S&P 500 1142.8 1131.1 37.7

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/6 5.5% 5.5% -7.6

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/26 billions $6,075.4 $6,067.2r 3.9

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/7 thous. 363 357r -4.7

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/7 402.2 444.0 22.3

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/7 3099.1 3250.6 -43.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-

eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 2/11 $/troy oz. 405.750 399.250 13.9

STEEL SCRAP 2/11 #1 heavy, $/ton 198.33 166.17 73.7

COPPER 2/6 cents/lb. 120.9 116.5 48.3

ALUMINUM 2/6 cents/lb. 79.5 78.0 15.2

COTTON 2/6 strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 66.12 69.06 21.7

OIL 2/11 $/bbl. 33.00 32.25 -6.9

CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/10 1967=100 274.48 305.82 15.1

CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/10 1967=100 307.56 270.13 19.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Institute of Scrap Recycling Indus-

tries, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/11 2.9005 2.9280 3.6070

BRITISH POUND 2/11 1.89 1.83 1.62

CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/11 1.31 1.33 1.53

EUROPEAN EURO 2/11 1.2832 1.2535 1.0713

JAPANESE YEN 2/11 105.47 105.43 121.45

KOREAN WON 2/11 1160.2 1168.3 1199.5

MEXICAN PESO 2/11 10.976 11.180 10.952

TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/11 91.4 92.3 110.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar

via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/10 1.00% 0.97% 1.22%

COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/10 3-month 1.01 1.02 1.25

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/10 3-month 1.06 1.05 1.26

FIXED MORTGAGE 2/6 30-year 5.84 5.86 6.00

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/6 one-year 3.78 3.78 4.19

PRIME 2/10 4.00 4.00 4.25

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing

the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include

machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern

Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised

NM=Not meaningful

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