PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 1/10 thous. of net tons 1,917 1,995# -3.1

AUTOS 1/10 units 88,563 0# -13.0

TRUCKS 1/10 units 163,177 3,270r# 8.4

ELECTRIC POWER 1/10 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 79,111 70,583# 6.3

CRUDE-OIL REFINING 1/10 thous. of bbl./day 15,081 15,354# -0.7

COAL 1/3 thous. of net tons 20,607# 19,531 1.8

LUMBER 1/3 millions of ft. 281.8# 250.9r -5.5

RAIL FREIGHT 1/3 billions of ton-miles 23.6# 22.9 5.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,

Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/2 1992=100 129.7 129.7r 8.6

STOCK PRICES 1/9 S&P 500 1121.9 1108.5 20.9

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 1/9 5.5% 5.7% -12.1

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 12/29 billions $6,023.2 $6,034.3r 3.6

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 1/10 thous. 343 354r -5.5

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 1/10 445.9 401.3 24.6

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 1/10 2195.7 1755.4 -62.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-

eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 1/14 $/troy oz. 419.500 421.750 19.5

STEEL SCRAP 1/14 #1 heavy, $/ton 166.17 157.67 66.5

COPPER 1/9 cents/lb. 112.5 108.4 44.2

ALUMINUM 1/9 cents/lb. 76.3 75.0 16.4

COTTON 1/9 strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 71.56 71.50 36.9

OIL 1/14 $/bbl. 34.24 33.45 3.4

CRB FOODSTUFFS 1/13 1967=100 261.53 256.57 11.5

CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 1/13 1967=100 316.50 307.70 23.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals

Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 1/14 2.8144 2.8550 3.3150

BRITISH POUND 1/14 1.83 1.82 1.61

CANADIAN DOLLAR 1/14 1.29 1.29 1.54

EUROPEAN EURO 1/14 1.2647 1.2631 1.0563

JAPANESE YEN 1/14 106.17 106.17 118.08

KOREAN WON 1/14 1180.5 1186.8 1175.4

MEXICAN PESO 1/14 10.844 10.894 10.499

TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 1/14 91.2 91.6 110.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar

via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 1/13 0.99% 0.92% 1.24%

COMMERCIAL PAPER 1/13 3-month 1.04 1.08 1.29

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 1/13 3-month 1.05 1.08 1.30

FIXED MORTGAGE 1/9 30-year 5.98 5.98 6.09

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 1/9 one-year 3.87 3.93 4.29

PRIME 1/13 4.00 4.00 4.25

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing

the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include

machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern

Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised

NM=Not meaningful

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