PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 10/4 thous. of net tons 1,792 1,756# -13.0 AUTOS 10/4 units 96,341 102,338r# 0.0 TRUCKS 10/4 units 165,225 166,429r# 4.2 ELECTRIC POWER 10/4 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 67,884 73,813# -6.5 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/4 thous. of bbl./day 15,044 15,122# 8.9 COAL 9/27 thous. of net tons 21,173# 21,461 -2.9 LUMBER 9/27 millions of ft. 535.6# 536.1 -2.2 RAIL FREIGHT 9/27 billions of ton-miles 30.2# 30.3 1.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/26 1992=100 128.3 128.7r 10.1 STOCK PRICES 10/2 S&P 500 1029.9 996.9 28.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/2 5.6% 5.5% -8.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/22 billions $6,102.9 $6,114.0r 6.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/3 thous. 382 405r -1.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/3 441.1 398.0r 25.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/3 3005.5 2506.8 -56.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/8 $/troy oz. 375.250 383.500 17.5 STEEL SCRAP 10/7 #1 heavy, $/ton 127.50 123.17 29.7 COPPER 10/3 cents/lb. 86.5 86.5 22.8 ALUMINUM 10/3 cents/lb. 67.8 68.3 8.4 COTTON 10/3 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 65.97 62.95 61.2 OIL 10/8 $/bbl. 29.71 29.24 1.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/7 1967=100 284.05 250.82 22.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/7 1967=100 249.76 280.62 5.0

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/8 2.8450 2.8950 3.9140 BRITISH POUND 10/8 1.66 1.67 1.56 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/8 1.33 1.35 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 10/8 1.1812 1.1718 0.9902 JAPANESE YEN 10/8 109.60 110.67 123.28 KOREAN WON 10/8 1149.8 1151.8 1243.5 MEXICAN PESO 10/8 11.300 11.028 10.225 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/8 94.9 95.1 123.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/7 0.98% 1.17% 1.72% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/7 3-month 1.06 1.05 1.68 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/7 3-month 1.10 1.12 1.72 FIXED MORTGAGE 10/3 30-year 5.97 6.15 6.18 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/3 one-year 3.98 4.06 4.54 PRIME 10/7 4.00 4.00 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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