PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/27 thous. of net tons 1,756 1,727# -17.0 AUTOS 9/27 units 102,338 95,694r# -5.2 TRUCKS 9/27 units 166,429 165,472r# 3.0 ELECTRIC POWER 9/27 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 73,813 75,440# 2.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/27 thous. of bbl./day 15,122 15,341# 1.2 COAL 9/20 thous. of net tons 21,461# 20,849 -0.9 LUMBER 9/20 millions of ft. 536.1# 534.0r -3.3 RAIL FREIGHT 9/20 billions of ton-miles 30.3# 30.4 3.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/19 1992=100 128.8 129.3r 9.6 STOCK PRICES 9/25 S&P 500 996.9 1036.3 20.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/25 5.5 5.7% -10.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/15 billions $6,110.9 $6,116.6r 7.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/26 thous. 399 386r -5.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/26 397.8 402.1 10.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/26 2506.8 2429.7 -62.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/1 $/troy oz. 383.500 385.000 19.0 STEEL SCRAP 9/30 #1 heavy, $/ton 123.17 123.17 24.2 COPPER 9/26 cents/lb. 86.5 86.1 21.9 ALUMINUM 9/26 cents/lb. 68.3 66.8 9.2 COTTON 9/26 strict low middling 62.95 61.40 59.2 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. OIL 10/1 $/bbl. 29.24 27.83 -3.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/30 1967=100 250.82 249.19 9.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/30 1967=100 280.62 274.30 15.6

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/1 2.8950 2.9215 3.6600 BRITISH POUND 10/1 1.67 1.66 1.57 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/1 1.35 1.35 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 10/1 1.1718 1.1496 0.9866 JAPANESE YEN 10/1 110.67 111.73 122.88 KOREAN WON 10/1 1151.8 1150.5 1230.4 MEXICAN PESO 10/1 11.028 10.781 10.105 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/1 95.1 95.6 116.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/30 1.17% 1.01% 1.85% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/30 3-month 1.05 1.04 1.70 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/30 3-month 1.12 1.07 1.72 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/26 30-year 6.15 6.19 6.19 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/26 one-year 4.06 4.07 4.60 PRIME 9/30 4.00 4.00 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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