PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 8/23 thous. of net tons 1,723 1,786# -14.3

AUTOS 8/23 units 100,303 83,243r# -4.7

TRUCKS 8/23 units 164,432 147,186r# 6.3

ELECTRIC POWER 8/23 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 89,046 86,810# 5.3

CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/23 thous. of bbl./day 15,484 15,753# 1.0

COAL 8/16 thous. of net tons 21,008# 20,626 0.4

LUMBER 8/16 millions of ft. 528.9# 508.7r 1.9

RAIL FREIGHT 8/16 billions of ton-miles 29.5# 28.7 -1.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,

Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/15 1992=100 119.1 117.6r -2.2

STOCK PRICES 8/21 S&P 500 993.1 990.7 5.5

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/21 5.9% 6.0% -7.6

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/11 billions $6,135.0 $6,123.1r 8.2

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/22 thous. 394 391r -4.1

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/22 375.5 389.5 8.9

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/22 2169.0 2756.8 -59.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-

eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 8/27 $/troy oz. 371.250 363.700 19.3

STEEL SCRAP 8/26 #1 heavy, $/ton 119.17 119.17 22.9

COPPER 8/22 cents/lb. 78.0 83.6 8.2

ALUMINUM 8/22 cents/lb. 65.5 67.0 4.0

COTTON 8/22 strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.24 53.49 34.2

OIL 8/27 $/bbl. 30.91 30.55 10.1

CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/26 1967=100 265.50 235.04 16.6

CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/26 1967=100 237.09 263.68 -1.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals

Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 8/27 2.9561 3.0025 3.1240

BRITISH POUND 8/27 1.57 1.59 1.53

CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/27 1.40 1.40 1.56

EUROPEAN EURO 8/27 1.0888 1.1119 0.9785

JAPANESE YEN 8/27 117.41 118.10 118.88

KOREAN WON 8/27 1177.9 1175.6 1197.5

MEXICAN PESO 8/27 10.927 10.826 9.905

TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/27 98.9 98.3 114.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar

via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 8/26 1.00% 0.93% 1.79%

COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/26 3-month 1.04 1.05 1.72

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/26 3-month 1.10 1.08 1.78

FIXED MORTGAGE 8/22 30-year 6.48 6.47 6.40

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/22 one-year 4.10 4.06 4.62

PRIME 8/21 4.00 4.00 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing

the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include

machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern

Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised

NM=Not meaningful

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