PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 6/21 thous. of net tons 1,881 1,941# -5.9 AUTOS 6/21 units 99,886 96,217r# -7.0 TRUCKS 6/21 units 162,779 156,858r# 6.3 ELECTRIC POWER 6/21 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 73,485 72,044# -1.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/21 thous. of bbl./day 15,409 15,803# 0.9 COAL 6/14 thous. of net tons 20,835# 20,592 2.0 LUMBER 6/14 millions of ft. 516.9# 511.5 -4.3 RAIL FREIGHT 6/14 billions of ton-miles 29.3# 29.0 0.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/13 1992=100 123.4 123.2 1.2 STOCK PRICES 6/20 S&P 500 995.7 988.6 0.7 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/20 5.1% 4.8% -22.5 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/9 billions $6,021.4 $6,020.6r 8.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/20 thous. 404 426r 2.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/20 411.2 419.1 3.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/20 8204.6 9162.7 227.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 6/25 $/troy oz. 348.100 359.750 8.3 STEEL SCRAP 6/24 #1 heavy, $/ton 105.17 105.17 8.4 COPPER 6/20 cents/lb. 81.6 80.8 2.6 ALUMINUM 6/20 cents/lb. 66.8 66.5 2.0 COTTON 6/20 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 55.38 53.61 78.3 OIL 6/25 $/bbl. 30.85 29.97 16.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/24 1967=100 236.94 241.92 11.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/24 1967=100 258.54 260.66 5.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 6/25 2.8595 2.8865 2.8805 BRITISH POUND 6/25 1.67 1.68 1.53 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/25 1.35 1.34 1.51 EUROPEAN EURO 6/25 1.1529 1.1691 0.9826 JAPANESE YEN 6/25 118.04 117.83 120.05 KOREAN WON 6/25 1187.2 1184.9 1203.8 MEXICAN PESO 6/25 10.479 10.601 9.947 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/25 95.8 95.8 114.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 6/24 1.15% 1.24% 1.75% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/24 3-month 0.88 0.93 1.74 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/25 3-month 1.04 0.93 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/20 30-year 5.44 5.37 6.66 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/20 one-year 3.73 3.70 4.86 PRIME 6/20 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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