PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/12 thous. of net tons 1,942 1,948# 1.4 AUTOS 4/12 units 88,873 94,101r# -24.0 TRUCKS 4/12 units 149,134 163,038r# -4.1 ELECTRIC POWER 4/12 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,901 66,921# 6.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/12 thous. of bbl./day 15,290 15,318# 2.3 COAL 4/5 thous. of net tons 20,507# 20,575 3.9 LUMBER 4/5 millions of ft. 481.4# 490.0r -8.9 RAIL FREIGHT 4/5 billions of ton-miles 29.0# 29.8 4.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/4 1992=100 120.5 119.2r -0.6 STOCK PRICES 4/11 S&P 500 868.3 878.9 -21.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/11 5.8% 5.8% -13.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/31 billions $5,888.2 $5,892.6r 7.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/11 thous. 442 412r -2.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/11 376.1 400.8 11.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/11 5546.7 6162.8 345.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/16 $/troy oz. 324.100 321.350 7.7 STEEL SCRAP 4/15 #1 heavy, $/ton 117.17 123.00r 40.3 COPPER 4/11 cents/lb. 76.3 75.7 0.0 ALUMINUM 4/11 cents/lb. 64.5 65.3 -2.3 COTTON 4/11 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 56.22 56.96 65.1 OIL 4/16 $/bbl. 28.92 28.65 12.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/15 1967=100 233.65 235.99 20.4 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/15 1967=100 260.42 258.45 12.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/16 3.0925 3.1930 2.3210 BRITISH POUND 4/16 1.58 1.56 1.45 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/16 1.46 1.47 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 4/16 1.0908 1.0773 0.8900 JAPANESE YEN 4/16 119.60 120.08 130.01 KOREAN WON 4/16 1214.9 1252.2 1308.2 MEXICAN PESO 4/16 10.620 10.770 9.233 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/16 108.6 109.4 122.7

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/15 1.34% 1.22% 1.68% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/15 3-month 1.22 1.19 1.82 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/16 3-month 1.26 1.23 1.85 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/11 30-year 5.93 5.92 7.08 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/11 one-year 4.01 4.04 5.35 PRIME 4/11 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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