PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 1/11 thous. of net tons 1,978 1,980# 16.1 AUTOS 1/11 units 106,277 38,361r# 8.6 TRUCKS 1/11 units 154,301 54,267r# 20.7 ELECTRIC POWER 1/11 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 74,426 69,829# 2.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 1/11 thous. of bbl./day 15,194 14,826# 3.4 COAL 1/4 thous. of net tons 20,233# 18,614 14.5 LUMBER 1/4 millions of ft. 298.7# 184.0r 9.1 RAIL FREIGHT 1/4 billions of ton-miles 23.8# 20.8 9.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/3 1992=100 119.1 117.6 -2.2 STOCK PRICES 1/10 S&P 500 927.6 908.6 -19.0 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 1/10 6.3% 6.2% -3.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 12/30 billions $5,815.7 $5,825.5r 6.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 1/10 thous. 360 392r -7.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 1/10 358.0 376.2 2.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 1/10 5786.4 5871.1 198.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 1/15 $/troy oz. 351.000 349.750 23.3 STEEL SCRAP 1/14 #1 heavy, $/ton 99.83 99.83 41.6 COPPER 1/10 cents/lb. 78.0 75.1 4.4 ALUMINUM 1/10 cents/lb. 65.5 65.6 -2.2 COTTON 1/10 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 52.29 52.72 57.8 OIL 1/15 $/bbl. 33.13 30.63 78.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 1/14 1967=100 234.62 240.74 15.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 1/14 1967=100 256.33 250.29 16.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 1/15 3.3150 3.3410 2.3625 BRITISH POUND 1/15 1.61 1.61 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 1/15 1.54 1.56 1.61 EUROPEAN EURO 1/15 1.0563 1.0499 0.8801 JAPANESE YEN 1/15 118.08 119.14 132.11 KOREAN WON 1/15 1175.4 1181.0 1315.5 MEXICAN PESO 1/15 10.499 10.447 9.125 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 1/15 110.5 111.8 123.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 1/14 1.24% 1.20% 1.75% COMMERCIAL PAPER 1/14 3-month 1.29 1.28 1.60 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 1/15 3-month 1.30 1.31 1.63 FIXED MORTGAGE 1/10 30-year 6.09 6.03 7.19 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 1/10 one-year 4.29 4.28 5.48 PRIME 1/10 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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