PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 12/7 thous. of net tons 1,872 1,864# 24.7 AUTOS 12/7 units 108,804 62,231r# -4.5 TRUCKS 12/7 units 166,885 91,590r# 5.2 ELECTRIC POWER 12/7 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 74,596 68,235# 12.0 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 12/7 thous. of bbl./day 15,106 15,243# 3.0 COAL 11/30 thous. of net tons 20,192# 22,081 -6.2 LUMBER 11/30 millions of ft. 283.9# 496.2r -41.1 RAIL FREIGHT 11/30 billions of ton-miles 24.9# 30.0 -14.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/29 1992=100 120.8 119.4r 1.8 STOCK PRICES 12/6 S&P 500 912.2 936.3 -21.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 12/6 6.3% 6.4% -8.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/25 billions $5,799.7 $5,817.9r 6.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 12/6 thous. 441 358r 11.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 12/6 358.8 386.6 4.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 12/6 3793.8 4151.9 38.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 12/11 $/troy oz. 324.250 322.100 18.6 STEEL SCRAP 12/10 #1 heavy, $/ton 93.83 94.00 45.1 COPPER 12/6 cents/lb. 79.0 78.0 7.6 ALUMINUM 12/6 cents/lb. 66.8 66.5 0.8 COTTON 12/6 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 48.21 49.42 43.4 OIL 12/11 $/bbl. 27.30 26.48 51.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/10 1967=100 239.81 234.27 18.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/10 1967=100 248.88 245.04 10.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 12/11 3.7490 3.7155 2.3865 BRITISH POUND 12/11 1.58 1.57 1.45 CANADIAN DOLLAR 12/11 1.56 1.56 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 12/11 1.0087 1.0009 0.8979 JAPANESE YEN 12/11 123.64 124.56 126.32 KOREAN WON 12/11 1208.0 1216.5 1265.5 MEXICAN PESO 12/11 10.167 10.285 9.130 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 12/11 114.4 115.2 121.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 12/10 1.22% 1.24% 1.80% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/10 3-month 1.31 1.30 1.72 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 12/11 3-month 1.35 1.38 1.76 FIXED MORTGAGE 12/6 30-year 6.32 6.30 7.09 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 12/6 one-year 4.47 4.48 5.49 PRIME 12/6 4.25 4.25 5.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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