PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/16 thous. of net tons 2,007 1,979# 27.6 AUTOS 11/16 units 94,811 95,896r# 4.0 TRUCKS 11/16 units 133,768 139,271r# 6.7 ELECTRIC POWER 11/16 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 67,185 67,986# 4.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/16 thous. of bbl./day 14,730 14,842# 0.5 COAL 11/9 thous. of net tons 21,505# 21,295 -3.5 LUMBER 11/9 millions of ft. 495.0# 521.4r 7.7 RAIL FREIGHT 11/9 billions of ton-miles 29.3# 29.3 -4.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/8 1992=100 117.6 118.3r 2.2 STOCK PRICES 11/15 S&P 500 909.8 894.7 -20.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/15 6.3% 6.2% -5.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/4 billions $5,782.3 $5,781.9r 6.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/15 thous. 376 401r -13.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/15 345.0 333.3 16.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/15 6174.1 4825.6 23.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 11/20 $/troy oz. 318.850 324.000 16.8 STEEL SCRAP 11/19 #1 heavy, $/ton 94.00 94.00 44.6 COPPER 11/15 cents/lb. 75.8 76.2 6.2 ALUMINUM 11/15 cents/lb. 66.8 66.3 3.5 COTTON 11/15 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 38.55 48.68 12.8 OIL 11/20 $/bbl. 26.58 24.86 45.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 11/19 1967=100 229.37 227.84 13.8 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 11/19 1967=100 241.96 242.89 9.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 11/20 3.5155 .6540 2.5511 BRITISH POUND 11/20 1.57 1.59 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 11/20 1.59 1.58 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 11/20 1.0013 .0084 0.8836 JAPANESE YEN 11/20 122.69 20.08 122.60 KOREAN WON 11/20 1216.6 202.3 1283.0 MEXICAN PESO 11/20 10.110 0.251 9.168 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 11/20 115.0 114.1 121.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 11/19 1.20% 1.29% 1.97% COMMERCIAL PAPER 11/19 3-month 1.33 1.31 2.02 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 11/20 3-month 1.35 1.34 2.03 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/15 30-year 6.10 6.22 6.80 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/15 one-year 4.32 4.43 5.29 PRIME 11/15 4.25 4.25 5.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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