Baird Downgrades Harley-Davidson to 'Neutral'

Analyst David Cumberland thinks the bike maker's near-term risk and rewards are now balanced

Baird downgraded Harley-Davidson (HDI ) to neutral from outperform.

Analyst David Cumberland says his downgrade reflects his belief that the motorcycle maker's near-term risks and rewards are balanced. He says volatile monthly industrial data may weigh on Harley-Davidson, especially since investors are particularly sensitive due to heightened expectations of the 100-year anniversary model year.

Also, Cumberland says he's seeing the recent usual sequential inventory build as the riding season winds down in many markets. He lowered his $67 target to $60. Cumberland says he continues to recommend the stock to growth-oriented investors given the company's long-term strength. He is keeping the 44-cent fourth quarter earnings per share estimate, the $1.85 estimate for 2002 and the $2.11 estimate for 2003.

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