PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/14 thous. of net tons 2,092 2,048# 5.1 AUTOS 9/14 units 105,915 81,599r# 14.5 TRUCKS 9/14 units 16,360 127,796r# -88.6 ELECTRIC POWER 9/14 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 80,185 80,448# -0.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/14 thous. of bbl./day 15,167 15,382# -2.0 COAL 9/7 thous. of net tons 21,046# 21,219 3.8 LUMBER 9/7 millions of ft. 446.8# 539.8r -16.5 RAIL FREIGHT 9/7 billions of ton-miles 27.4# 30.4 5.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/6 1992=100 120.5 120.7r 1.8 STOCK PRICES 9/13 S&P 500 889.8 893.9 -2.9 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/13 6.2% 6.3% -2.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/2 billions $5,700.2 $5,698.6r 0.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/13 thous. 424 433r 4.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/13 357.4 401.6 -0.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/13 5626.0 6104.3 9.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/18 $/troy oz. 315.900 315.500 0.9 STEEL SCRAP 9/17 #1 heavy, $/ton 98.50 98.50 1.5 COPPER 9/13 cents/lb. 64.5 71.4 -11.3 ALUMINUM 9/13 cents/lb. 73.7 62.5 17.0 COTTON 9/13 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 38.90 39.87 -4.0 OIL 9/18 $/bbl. 29.36 29.59 4.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/17 1967=100 227.01 227.45 1.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/17 1967=100 240.90 241.17 -0.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/18 3.3525 3.1100 3.1150 BRITISH POUND 9/18 1.55 1.55 1.56 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/18 1.58 1.58 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 9/18 0.9778 0.9760 0.9919 JAPANESE YEN 9/18 121.50 120.31 118.02 KOREAN WON 9/18 1213.0 1205.0 1195.3 MEXICAN PESO 9/18 10.015 9.987 9.980 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/18 115.8 115.7 114.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/17 1.72% 1.74% 1.87% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/17 3-month 1.75 1.73 1.73 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/18 3-month 1.77 1.77 1.74 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/13 30-year 6.32 6.30 6.35 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/13 one-year 4.65 4.64 4.56 PRIME 9/13 4.75 4.75 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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