PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 6/15 thous. of net tons 1,934 1,831# 3.8 AUTOS 6/15 units 107,733 113,365r# -2.5 TRUCKS 6/15 units 152,606 150,859r# 13.4 ELECTRIC POWER 6/15 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,532 73,867# 12.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/15 thous. of bbl./day 15,417 15,308# -3.1 COAL 6/8 thous. of net tons 19,689# 19,597 -9.4 LUMBER 6/8 millions of ft. 563.5# 445.9 28.0 RAIL FREIGHT 6/8 billions of ton-miles 28.3# 26.1 0.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/7 1992=100 122.4 124.2 0.8 STOCK PRICES 6/14 S&P 500 1007.3 1027.5 -20.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/14 6.6% 6.8% -5.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/3 billions $5,546.2 $5,564.8r 7.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/14 thous. 393 395r -9.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/14 359.3 359.0 4.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/14 1764.4 1693.8 -0.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 6/19 $/troy oz. 320.650 319.750 17.9 STEEL SCRAP 6/18 #1 heavy, $/ton 97.00 97.00 26.0 COPPER 6/14 cents/lb. 80.8 82.0 2.4 ALUMINUM 6/14 cents/lb. 67.0 67.8 -6.0 COTTON 6/14 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 36.40 36.33 -6.5 OIL 6/19 $/bbl. 25.14 24.47 -12.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/18 1967=100 206.81 205.47 -2.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/18 1967=100 244.84 242.28 -1.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 6/19 2.7155 2.7150 2.3895 BRITISH POUND 6/19 1.49 1.47 1.39 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/19 1.54 1.54 1.52 EUROPEAN EURO 6/19 0.9577 0.9449 0.8541 JAPANESE YEN 6/19 123.84 125.10 121.96 KOREAN WON 6/19 1230.3 1223.6 1292.0 MEXICAN PESO 6/19 9.743 9.655 9.050 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/19 117.4 117.7 121.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 6/18 1.71% 1.72% 3.98% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/18 3-month 1.75 1.78 3.71 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/19 3-month 1.80 1.81 3.76 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/14 30-year 6.78 6.80 7.32 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/14 one-year 4.89 4.99 6.08 PRIME 6/14 4.75 4.75 7.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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