PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 2/16 thous. of net tons 1,874 1,902# -1.3 AUTOS 2/16 units 111,159 104,791r# 4.0 TRUCKS 2/16 units 137,318 140,274r# 16.4 ELECTRIC POWER 2/16 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,430 71,423# -0.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/16 thous. of bbl./day 14,412 14,325# -1.8 COAL 2/9 thous. of net tons 20,123# 20,522 -9.1 LUMBER 2/9 millions of ft. 501.2# 518.8 5.5 RAIL FREIGHT 2/9 billions of ton-miles 27.6# 28.4 -1.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/8 1992=100 118.8 120.1r -1.6 STOCK PRICES 2/15 S&P 500 1104.2 1096.2 -15.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/15 6.5% 6.5% -4.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/4 billions $5,474.2 $5,462.1r 8.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/15 thous. 383 373 15.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/15 290.2 314.7 5.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/15 1927.9 2134.9 -17.8

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 2/20 $/troy oz. 291.300 297.400 13.1 STEEL SCRAP 2/19 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.50 75.50 0.7 COPPER 2/15 cents/lb. 77.8 77.1 -10.2 ALUMINUM 2/15 cents/lb. 65.0 64.5 -14.5 COTTON 2/15 strict low 32.40 33.08 -42.8 middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. OIL 2/20 $/bbl. 20.06 21.02 -28.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/19 1967=100 203.63 202.06 5.4 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/19 1967=100 220.63 222.62 -11.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/20 2.4253 2.4200 2.0455 BRITISH POUND 2/20 1.42 1.43 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/20 1.59 1.59 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 2/20 0.8708 0.8699 0.9089 JAPANESE YEN 2/20 134.39 132.45 116.61 KOREAN WON 2/20 1320.0 1311.2 1239.0 MEXICAN PESO 2/20 9.070 9.075 9.735 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/20 125.4 124.8 117.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/19 1.77% 1.72% 5.57% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/19 3-month 1.82 1.77 5.19 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/20 3-month 1.82 1.82 5.29 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/15 30-year 6.98 7.00 7.31 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/15 one-year 5.25 5.26 6.57 PRIME 2/15 4.75 4.75 8.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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