PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 2/9 thous. of net tons 1,902 1,917# 0.4 AUTOS 2/9 units 101,392 97,734r# -5.0 TRUCKS 2/9 units 141,608 146,259r# 22.8 ELECTRIC POWER 2/9 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 71,423 67,937# 2.0 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/9 thous. of bbl./day 14,325 14,144# -1.8 COAL 2/2 thous. of net tons 20,522# 21,152 40.6 LUMBER 2/2 millions of ft. 518.8# 507.5r 15.4 RAIL FREIGHT 2/2 billions of ton-miles 28.4# 28.9 -1.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/1 1992=100 120.0 119.4 -1.4 STOCK PRICES 2/8 S&P 500 1096.2 1122.2 -16.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/8 6.5% 6.5% -3.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/28 billions $5,462.1 $5,465.3r 9.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/8 thous. 373 381r 8.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/8 314.7 340.9 13.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/8 2134.9 1884.2 -19.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 2/13 $/troy oz. 297.400 299.500 14.3 STEEL SCRAP 2/12 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.50 70.50 0.7 COPPER 2/8 cents/lb. 77.1 75.2 0.2 ALUMINUM 2/8 cents/lb. 64.5 64.3 -26.0 COTTON 2/8 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 33.08 31.59 -41.9 OIL 2/13 $/bbl. 21.02 19.62 -28.4 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/12 1967=100 202.06 202.70 6.4 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/12 1967=100 222.62 220.42 -10.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 2/13 2.4200 2.4340 1.9860 BRITISH POUND 2/13 1.43 1.41 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/13 1.59 1.60 1.53 EUROPEAN EURO 2/13 0.8699 0.8672 0.9180 JAPANESE YEN 2/13 132.45 133.64 116.42 KOREAN WON 2/13 1311.2 1318.0 1251.0 MEXICAN PESO 2/13 9.075 9.129 9.715 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/13 124.8 125.5 116.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 2/12 1.72% 1.64% 5.46% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/12 3-month 1.77 1.79 5.18 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/13 3-month 1.82 1.81 5.34 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/8 30-year 7.00 7.15 7.22 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/8 one-year 5.26 5.34 6.46 PRIME 2/8 4.75 4.75 8.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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