PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/29 thous. of net tons 1,748 1,767# -17.9 AUTOS 9/29 units 110,999 96,987r# -9.3 TRUCKS 9/29 units 144,916 130,446r# -6.0 ELECTRIC POWER 9/29 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,648 68,851# -1.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/29 thous. of bbl./day 14,974 14,732# -3.3 COAL 9/22 thous. of net tons 22,589# 22,596 5.0 LUMBER 9/22 millions of ft. 529.4# 516.9r 4.5 RAIL FREIGHT 9/22 billions of ton-miles 29.6# 29.7 -1.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/21 1992=100 116.7 117.7r -7.2 STOCK PRICES 9/28 S&P 500 1040.9 965.8 -27.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/28 6.8% 7.0% -11.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/17 billions $5,480.0 $5,315.0r 12.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/28 thous. 528 457r 75.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/28 308.8 283.5 -3.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/28 3459.8 2713.9 635.2

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/3 $/troy oz. 290.100 291.450 6.9 STEEL SCRAP 10/2 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.00 78.00 -3.9 COPPER 9/28 cents/lb. 69.2 69.3 -27.9 ALUMINUM 9/28 cents/lb. 64.3 65.5 -16.3 COTTON 9/28 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 34.67 34.32 -42.8 OIL 10/3 $/bbl. 21.82 22.17 -29.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/2 1967=100 208.38 215.84 14.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/2 1967=100 222.84 224.75 -14.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/3 2.7345 2.7295 1.8530 BRITISH POUND 10/3 1.48 1.47 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/3 1.57 1.53 1.49 EUROPEAN EURO 10/3 0.9146 0.9233 0.8746 JAPANESE YEN 10/3 120.63 117.76 109.28 KOREAN WON 10/3 1313.5 1300.0 1119.5 MEXICAN PESO 10/3 9.525 9.515 9.454 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/3 118.6 117.8 115.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/2 2.35% 3.11% 6.46% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/2 3-month 2.45 2.45 6.50 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/3 3-month 2.42 2.52 6.70 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/28 30-year 6.86 6.92 8.01 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/28 one-year 5.60 5.71 7.24 PRIME 9/28 6.00 6.00 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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