PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 8/18 thous. of net tons 1,871 1,833# -9.5 AUTOS 8/18 units 95,146 94,530r# -13.9 TRUCKS 8/18 units 139,671 138,161r# -2.1 ELECTRIC POWER 8/18 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 81,030 88,120# 0.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/18 thous. of bbl./day 15,145 15,486# -3.9 COAL 8/11 thous. of net tons 21,504# 21,323 -6.3 LUMBER 8/11 millions of ft. 507.5# 515.5r 11.6 RAIL FREIGHT 8/11 billions of ton-miles 28.6# 28.7 -1.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/10 1992=100 120.1 120.8r -3.8 STOCK PRICES 8/17 S&P 500 1162.0 1190.2 -22.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/17 6.6% 6.7% -12.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/6 billions $5,266.7 $5,255.5r 9.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/17 thous. 393 385r 22.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/17 293.2 300.7 -0.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/17 1769.8 1716.0 361.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 8/22 $/troy oz. 275.850 275.350 1.0 STEEL SCRAP 8/21 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.50 78.50 -23.8 COPPER 8/17 cents/lb. 70.6 70.5 -22.4 ALUMINUM 8/17 cents/lb. 66.0 65.8 -11.4 COTTON 8/17 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 39.10 36.96 -34.0 OIL 8/22 $/bbl. 26.64 27.17 -17.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/21 1967=100 234.09 234.78 36.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/21 1967=100 236.16 238.25 -8.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 8/22 2.5280 2.4890 1.8220 BRITISH POUND 8/22 1.45 1.44 1.49 CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/22 1.54 1.53 1.49 EUROPEAN EURO 8/22 0.9144 0.9140 0.9016 JAPANESE YEN 8/22 120.43 119.58 106.96 KOREAN WON 8/22 1277.5 1276.5 1113.2 MEXICAN PESO 8/22 9.115 9.075 9.277 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/22 117.8 117.9 113.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade- weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 8/21 3.53% 3.76% 6.42% COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/21 3-month 3.38 3.43 6.50 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/22 3-month 3.41 3.47 6.60 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/17 30-year 7.09 7.17 8.14 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/17 one-year 5.92 5.94 7.39 PRIME 8/17 6.75 6.75 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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