PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 7/14 thous. of net tons 17,784 1,843# 736.9 AUTOS 7/14 units 43,141 17,507r# 7.5 TRUCKS 7/14 units 53,812 35,748r# 52.7 ELECTRIC POWER 7/14 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 78,226 72,515# -1.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/14 thous. of bbl./day 15,474 15,771# -0.5 COAL 7/7 thous. of net tons 17,654# 22,001 -9.4 LUMBER 7/7 millions of ft. 292.0# 518.3r 9.3 RAIL FREIGHT 7/7 billions of ton-miles 23.5# 28.5 -2.1

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/6 1992=100 119.6 120.5r -3.4 STOCK PRICES 7/13 S&P 500 1215.7 1190.6 -19.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/13 6.8% 6.9% -11.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 7/2 billions $5,230.9 $5,212.5r 9.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/13 thous. 414 449r 32.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/13 310.4 300.4 -6.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/13 1387.4 1200.0 273.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 7/18 $/troy oz. 268.550 267.550 -3.8 STEEL SCRAP 7/17 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.67 78.67 -23.6 COPPER 7/13 cents/lb. 74.5 74.7 -13.7 ALUMINUM 7/13 cents/lb. 68.5 69.3 -10.5 COTTON 7/13 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 38.83 37.71r -30.5 OIL 7/18 $/bbl. 24.68 26.78 -20.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/17 1967=100 222.85 219.62 27.8 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/17 1967=100 242.95 245.70 -4.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 7/18 2.5010 2.5480 1.8035 BRITISH POUND 7/18 1.42 1.41 1.50 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/18 1.54 1.53 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 7/18 0.8735 0.8593 0.9246 JAPANESE YEN 7/18 123.90 124.39 108.29 KOREAN WON 7/18 1307.0 1306.5 1112.2 MEXICAN PESO 7/18 9.215 9.235 9.430 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/18 121.4 121.6 112.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 7/17 3.71% 3.71% 6.47% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/17 3-month 3.59 3.62 6.53 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/18 3-month 3.67 3.68 6.67 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/13 30-year 7.34 7.42 8.27 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/13 one-year 6.05 6.13 7.39 PRIME 7/13 6.75 6.75 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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