PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 6/30 thous. of net tons 1,853 1,862# -17.4 AUTOS 6/30 units 107,410 111,074r# 3.9 TRUCKS 6/30 units 130,795 145,402r# -2.5 ELECTRIC POWER 6/30 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,723 76,160# 0.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/30 thous. of bbl./day 15,828 15,429# 2.5 COAL 6/23 thous. of net tons 22,178# 20,968 2.2 LUMBER 6/23 millions of ft. 529.9# 514.1r 0.7 RAIL FREIGHT 6/23 billions of ton-miles 27.6# 27.4 2.5

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Insti- tute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/22 1992=100 120.6 121.2 -3.1 STOCK PRICES 6/29 S&P 500 1224.4 1225.4 -15.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/29 6.9% 6.8% -10.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/18 billions $5,220.4 $5,190.7 9.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/29 thous. 399 392r 36.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/29 308.3 307.9 -3.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/29 1521.6 1497.8 349.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/4 $/troy oz. 267.600 274.800 -6.7 STEEL SCRAP 7/3 #1 heavy, $/ton 77.00 77.00 -25.2 COPPER 6/29 cents/lb. 75.6 76.0 -11.7 ALUMINUM 6/29 cents/lb. 69.3 69.8 -9.8 COTTON 6/29 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 37.81 36.37 -29.6 OIL 7/3 $/bbl. 26.06 25.52 -15.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/2 1967=100 216.40 216.22 18.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/2 1967=100 245.75 244.77 -4.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/4 2.3495 2.3310 1.8035 BRITISH POUND 7/4 1.41 1.42 1.51 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/4 1.51 1.52 1.49 EUROPEAN EURO 7/4 0.8478 0.8600 0.9525 JAPANESE YEN 7/4 124.40 124.35 106.96 KOREAN WON 7/4 1293.0 1297.5 1117.0 MEXICAN PESO 7/4 9.055 9.055 9.543 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/4 122.0 121.3 110.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dol- lars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/2 4.11% 3.75% 7.03% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/2 3-month 3.69 3.52 6.55 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/3 3-month 3.75 3.63 6.69 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/29 30-year 7.28 7.29 8.39 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/29 one-year 6.05 6.05 7.35 PRIME 6/29 6.75 7.00 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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