...the Bulls Are Running Again:

-- Profits could soar later this year as tax cuts and lower interest rates boost growth.

-- Share prices, particularly of high-tech companies, have fallen so far they're now a bargain.

-- Consumer confidence has edged up again, raising hopes the economy can avoid a recession.

...the Fed Remains Worried:

-- Pinched margins continue to force many CEOs to cut capital outlays and lay off workers.

-- High-tech companies that spent heavily in the late 1990s are still saddled with excess capacity.

-- Unemployment is rising, and the market slump left many investors poorer. Both could dampen consumer spending.

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