PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/7 thous. of net tons 1,919 1,968# -17.9 AUTOS 4/7 units 96,786 119,196r# -21.9 TRUCKS 4/7 units 147,973 149,462r# -8.6 ELECTRIC POWER 4/7 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 63,517 65,627# 3.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/7 thous. of bbl./day 14,545 14,377# -2.6 COAL 3/31 thous. of net tons 23,720# 23,055 9.5 LUMBER 3/31 millions of ft. 492.4# 492.4r -11.1 RAIL FREIGHT 3/31 billions of ton-miles 29.5# 28.9 3.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/30 1992=100 120.7 120.6r -4.8 STOCK PRICES 4/6 S&P 500 1128.4 1160.3 -25.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/6 6.7% 6.7 -11.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/26 billions $5,115.5 $5,097.7r 8.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/6 thous. 392 383 50.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/6 304.6 294.0 -3.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/6 2427.2 2726.1 566.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/11 $/troy oz. 257.700 259.450 -8.1 STEEL SCRAP 4/10 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.83 76.17 -26.4 COPPER 4/6 cents/lb. 80.1 81.5 -2.4 ALUMINUM 4/6 cents/lb. 70.5 71.0 -2.8 COTTON 4/6 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 48.83 44.39 -9.2 OIL 4/11 $/bbl. 27.83 26.80 17.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/10 1967=100 201.48 202.20 7.2 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/10 1967=100 241.84 242.28 -6.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/11 2.1250 2.1660 1.7560 BRITISH POUND 4/11 1.44 1.43 1.59 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/11 1.56 1.57 1.46 EUROPEAN EURO 4/11 0.8874 0.9013 0.9590 JAPANESE YEN 4/11 124.82 125.33 105.78 KOREAN WON 4/11 1325.0 1368.0 1108.3 MEXICAN PESO 4/11 9.305 9.410 9.392 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/11 121.3 121.0 109.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/10 4.96% 5.10% 5.97% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/10 3-month 4.53 4.65 6.08 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/11 3-month 4.72 4.75 6.24 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/6 30-year 7.19 7.20 8.29 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/6 one-year 6.27 6.32 6.87 PRIME 4/6 8.00 8.00 9.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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