PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 2/17 thous. of net tons 1,899 1,894# -18.0 AUTOS 2/17 units 104,848 106,728r# -8.2 TRUCKS 2/17 units 117,708 115,306r# -26.5 ELECTRIC POWER 2/17 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,981 69,997# 3.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/17 thous. of bbl./day 14,674 14,595# 5.0 COAL 2/10 thous. of net tons 22,129# 22,942 1.3 LUMBER 2/10 millions of ft. 476.7# 449.5 -12.5 RAIL FREIGHT 2/10 billions of ton-miles 27.5# 28.1 -4.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/9 1992=100 122.8 123.9r -2.6 STOCK PRICES 2/16 S&P 500 1301.5 1314.8 -3.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/16 6.8% 6.7 -11.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/5 billions $5,029.6 $5,000.3r 7.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/16 thous. 348 344r 22.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/16 274.3 277.6 4.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/16 2346.1 2647.7 599.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 2/21 $/troy oz. 257.500 260.250 -14.7 STEEL SCRAP 2/20 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.00 75.00 -27.2 COPPER 2/16 cents/lb. 86.6 77.0 -0.5 ALUMINUM 2/16 cents/lb. 76.0 87.1 -4.4 COTTON 2/16 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 56.63 56.91 3.4 OIL 2/21 $/bbl. 27.88 29.37 -4.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/20 1967=100 193.14 189.90 9.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/20 1967=100 248.52 249.16 -5.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/21 2.0455 1.9860 1.7835 BRITISH POUND 2/21 1.44 1.46 1.60 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/21 1.54 1.53 1.46 EUROPEAN EURO 2/21 0.9089 0.9180 1.0036 JAPANESE YEN 2/21 116.61 116.42 111.07 KOREAN WON 2/21 1239.0 1251.0 1135.5 MEXICAN PESO 2/21 9.735 9.715 9.376 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/21 117.3 116.5 109.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/20 5.57% 5.46% 5.81% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/20 3-month 5.19 5.18 5.87 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/21 3-month 5.29 5.34 6.02 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/16 30-year 7.31 7.22 8.51 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/16 one-year 6.57 6.46 6.88 PRIME 2/16 8.50 8.50 8.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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