PRODUCTION INDICATORS
                                          LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      STEEL (12/9) thous. of net tons     1,882     1,934#      -3.0
      AUTOS (12/9) units                  139,130   126,585r#   -9.4
      TRUCKS (12/9) units                 124,444   125,160r#   2.2
      ELECTRIC POWER (12/9)
       millions of kilowatt-hrs.          60,563    58,996#     3.3
      CRUDE-OIL REFINING (12/9)
       thous. of bbl./day                 14,191    14,223#     3.0
      COAL (12/2) thous. of net tons      19,966#   17,568      -5.8
      PAPERBOARD (12/2) thous. of tons    830.3#    829.1r      -6.0
      PAPER (12/2) thous. of tons         789.0#    825.0r      -10.0
      LUMBER (12/2) millions of ft.       423.5#    273.0       5.6
      RAIL FREIGHT (12/2)
       billions of ton-miles              26.3#     21.1        0.4
      Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison 
      Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest 
      & Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads
      
      LEADING INDICATORS
                                          LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      STOCK PRICES (12/8) S&P 500         617.04    605.55      37.1
      CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (12/8)    6.81%     6.94%       -19.6
      INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (12/8)  111.6     111.2       NA*
      BUSINESS FAILURES (12/1)            462       389         20.3
      REAL ESTATE LOANS (11/29) billions  $502.0    $502.0r     9.6
      MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (11/27) billions   $3,737.7  $3,729.2r   4.4
      INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT
       (11/25) thous.                     363       381r        14.9
      Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard & 
      Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet 
      (failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally 
      adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data 
      available from CIBCR.
      
      PRICES
                                          LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      GOLD (12/13) $/troy oz.             387.600   388.400     1.9
      STEEL SCRAP (12/12) #1 heavy, $/ton 134.00    134.50      -6.6
      COPPER (12/9)  cents/lb.            135.5     137.6       -3.0
      ALUMINUM (12/9)  cents/lb.          77.8      78.5        -13.6
      COTTON (12/9) strict low middling
       1-1/16 in.,  cents/lb.             84.13     83.66       4.4
      OIL (12/12) $/bbl.                  18.79     18.66       11.9
      Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis 
      market, NYMEX
      
      INTEREST RATES
                                          LATEST    WEEK        YEAR
                                          WEEK      AGO         AGO
      FEDERAL FUNDS (12/12)               5.69%     5.72%       5.48%
      COMMERCIAL PAPER (12/12) 3-month    5.65      5.69        6.30
      CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
       (12/13) 3-month                    5.67      5.67        6.30
      FIXED MORTGAGE (12/8) 30-year       7.43      7.60        9.30
      ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE (12/8) one-year 5.62      5.71        6.57
      PRIME (12/13)                       8.75      8.75        8.50
      Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC
      
      FOREIGN EXCHANGE
                                          LATEST    WEEK        YEAR
                                          WEEK      AGO         AGO
      JAPANESE YEN (12/13)                101.71    101.42      100.28
      GERMAN MARK (12/13)                 1.45      1.44        1.57
      BRITISH POUND (12/13)               1.53      1.54        1.56
      FRENCH FRANC (12/13)                5.02      4.97        5.42
      ITALIAN LIRA (12/13)                1599.3    1595.0      1632.1
      CANADIAN DOLLAR (12/13)             1.37      1.37        1.39
      MEXICAN PESO (12/13)3               7.745     7.655       3.450
      Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, 
      except for British pound in dollars
      
      #Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the 
      BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery 
      and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.   2=Southern Forest 
      Products Assn.    3=Free market value   NA=Not available   r=revised   NM=Not 
      meaningful
      
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