PRODUCTION INDICATORS
                                        LATEST    WEEK       YEARLY
                                        WEEK      AGO        % CHG
      STEEL (9/9) thous. of net tons    1,984     1,949#     10.4
      AUTOS (9/9) units                 112,401   118,296r#  0.5
      TRUCKS (9/9) units                99,189    105,651r#  -4.7
      ELECTRIC POWER (9/9)
       millions of kilowatt-hrs.        66,148    72,418#    10.5
      CRUDE-OIL REFINING (9/9)
       thous. of bbl./day               14,730    14,282#    2.3
      COAL (9/2) thous. of net tons     20,705#   20,317     -1.2
      PAPERBOARD (9/2) thous. of tons   837.7#    889.9r     -6.5
      PAPER (9/2) thous. of tons        847.0#    850.0r     -0.9
      LUMBER (9/2) millions of ft.      457.2#    465.9      -3.6
      RAIL FREIGHT (9/2)
       billions of ton-miles            25.7#     25.0       4.5
      
      Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison 
      Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest 
      & Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads
      
      LEADING INDICATORS
                                        LATEST    WEEK       YEARLY
                                        WEEK      AGO        % CHG
      STOCK PRICES (9/9) S&P 500        570.58    561.14     21.0
      CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (9/9)   7.33%     7.39%      -10.8
      INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (9/9) 113.5     114.3      NA*
      BUSINESS FAILURES (9/1)           NA        NA         NA
      REAL ESTATE LOANS (8/30) billions $495.4    $494.7r    11.9
      MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (8/28) billions  $3,709.8  $3,708.9r  3.7
      INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT
       (8/26) thous.                    349       348r       4.8
      
      Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard & 
      Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet 
      (failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally 
      adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data 
      available from CIBCR.
      
      PRICES
                                        LATEST    WEEK       YEARLY
                                        WEEK      AGO        % CHG
      GOLD (9/13) $/troy oz.            384.900   380.050    -1.5
      STEEL SCRAP (9/12)
       #1 heavy, $/ton                  143.50    146.50     6.7
      COPPER (9/8)  cents/lb.           136.2     137.3      12.3
      ALUMINUM (9/8)  cents/lb.         82.5      85.5       8.8
      COTTON (9/8) strict low middling
       1-1/16 in.,  cents/lb.           88.56     90.55      22.1
      OIL (9/12) $/bbl.                 18.73     18.51      12.2
      
      Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis 
      market, NYMEX
      
      INTEREST RATES
                                        LATEST    WEEK       YEAR
                                        WEEK      AGO        AGO
      FEDERAL FUNDS (9/12)              5.65%     5.86%      4.70%
      COMMERCIAL PAPER (9/13) 3-month   5.72      5.77       4.95
      CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
       (9/13) 3-month                   5.71      5.75       4.96
      FIXED MORTGAGE (9/8) 30-year      7.84      7.95       8.66
      ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE
       (9/8) one-year                   5.85      5.86       5.56
      PRIME (9/13)                      8.75      8.75       7.75
      
      Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC
      
      FOREIGN EXCHANGE
                                        LATEST    WEEK       YEAR
                                        WEEK      AGO        AGO
      JAPANESE YEN (9/13)               102.59    98.74      99.23
      GERMAN MARK (9/13)                1.50      1.48       1.55
      BRITISH POUND (9/13)              1.55      1.55       1.56
      FRENCH FRANC (9/13)               5.15      5.09       5.30
      ITALIAN LIRA (9/13)               1617.0    1621.5     1563.8
      CANADIAN DOLLAR (9/13)            1.35      1.34       1.35
      MEXICAN PESO (9/13)3              6.285     6.240      3.406
      
      Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, 
      except for British pound in dollars
      
      #Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the 
      BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery 
      and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.   2=Southern Forest 
      Products Assn.    3=Free market value   NA=Not available   r=revised   NM=Not 
      meaningful
      
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