PRODUCTION INDICATORS
      
                                              LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                              WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      STEEL (8/5) thous. of net tons          1,906     1,895#      6.4
      AUTOS (8/5) units                       111,581   111,909r#   8.9
      TRUCKS (8/5) units                      101,272   107,569r#   -10.6
      ELECTRIC POWER (8/5) millions
       of kilowatt-hrs.                       77,113    77,971#     13.3
      CRUDE-OIL REFINING (8/5)
       thous. of bbl./day                     14,460    14,270#     0.4
      COAL (7/29) thous. of net tons          19,760#   19,997      -0.8
      PAPERBOARD (7/29) thous. of tons        903.6#    909.2       4.3
      PAPER (7/29) thous. of tons             852.0#    825.0r      5.6
      LUMBER (7/29) millions of ft.           465.0#    437.3       -7.8
      RAIL FREIGHT (7/29)
       billions of ton-miles                  24.5#     24.0        2.5
      
      Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison 
      Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest 
      & Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads
      
      LEADING INDICATORS
      
                                              LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                              WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      STOCK PRICES (8/4) S&P 500              559.64    561.50      21.7
      CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (8/4)         7.57%     7.56%       -4.9
      INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (8/4)       113.7     113.5       NA*
      BUSINESS FAILURES (7/28)                NA        NA          NA
      REAL ESTATE LOANS (7/26) billions       $491.1    $491.6      12.5
      MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (7/24) billions        $3,678.6  $3,669.2r   2.7
      INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT
       (7/22) thous.                          372       416         13.1
      
      Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard & 
      Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet 
      (failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally 
      adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data 
      available from CIBCR.
      
      PRICES
      
                                              LATEST    WEEK        YEARLY
                                              WEEK      AGO         % CHG
      GOLD (8/9) $/troy oz.                   384.400   382.650     1.7
      STEEL SCRAP (8/8) #1 heavy, $/ton       142.50    140.50      4.4
      COPPER (8/4)  cents/lb.                 141.0     137.4       26.2
      ALUMINUM (8/4)  cents/lb.               87.0      88.5        24.3
      COTTON (8/4) strict low middling
       1-1/16 in.,  cents/lb.                 83.43     88.33       17.0
      OIL (8/8) $/bbl.                        17.88     17.58       -5.6
      
      Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis 
      market, NYMEX
      
      INTEREST RATES
                                              LATEST    WEEK        YEAR
                                              WEEK      AGO         AGO
      FEDERAL FUNDS (8/8)                     5.70%     5.55%       4.26%
      COMMERCIAL PAPER (8/8) 3-month          5.80      5.80        4.82
      CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT (8/9) 3-month   5.75      5.75        4.79
      FIXED MORTGAGE (8/4) 30-year            8.04      8.06        8.57
      ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE (8/4) one-year      5.90      5.94        5.54
      PRIME (8/9)                             8.75      8.75        7.25
      
      Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC
      
      FOREIGN EXCHANGE
                                              LATEST    WEEK        YEAR
                                              WEEK      AGO         AGO
      JAPANESE YEN (8/9)                      91.57     90.75       99.70
      GERMAN MARK (8/9)                       1.41      1.40        1.55
      BRITISH POUND (8/9)                     1.60      1.60        1.55
      FRENCH FRANC (8/9)                      4.87      4.82        5.33
      ITALIAN LIRA (8/9)                      1588.1    1589.5      1587.5
      CANADIAN DOLLAR (8/9)                   1.36      1.36        1.38
      MEXICAN PESO (8/9)3                     6.145     6.140       3.397
      
      Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, 
      except for British pound in dollars
      
      #Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the 
      BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery 
      and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.   2=Southern Forest 
      Products Assn.    3=Free market value   NA=Not available   r=revised   NM=Not 
      meaningful
      
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