PRODUCTION INDICATORS
      
                                          LATEST      WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK        AGO         % CHG
      
      STEEL (7/29) thous. of net tons     1,895       1,858#      6.6
      AUTOS (7/29) units                  103,328     97,941r#    -9.4
      TRUCKS (7/29) units                 96,435      92,698r#    -9.1
      ELECTRIC POWER (7/29)
       millions of kilowatt-hrs.          77,971      73,314#     14.3
      CRUDE-OIL REFINING (7/29)
       thous. of bbl./day                 14,270      14,372#     0.8
      COAL (7/22) thous. of net tons      19,997#     19,201      3.2
      PAPERBOARD (7/22) thous. of tons    909.2#      905.6r      7.3
      PAPER (7/22) thous. of tons         828.0#      822.0r      4.7
      LUMBER (7/22) millions of ft.       437.3#      413.8       -4.5
      RAIL FREIGHT (7/22)
       billions of ton-miles              24.0#       23.3        5.3
      
      Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison 
      Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest 
      & Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads
      
      LEADING INDICATORS
      
                                          LATEST      WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK        AGO         % CHG
      
      STOCK PRICES (7/28) S&P 500         561.50      555.86      23.5
      CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (7/28)    7.56%       7.48%       -6.1
      INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (7/28)  113.5       115.0       NA*
      BUSINESS FAILURES (7/21)            NA          NA          NA
      REAL ESTATE LOANS (7/19) billions   $491.6      $491.5      12.4
      MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (7/17) billions    $3,669.9    $3,669.5r   2.5
      INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT
       (7/15) thous.                      416         399         4.3
      
      Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard & 
      Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet 
      (failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally 
      adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data 
      available from CIBCR.
      
      PRICES
      
                                          LATEST      WEEK        YEARLY
                                          WEEK        AGO         % CHG
      
      GOLD (8/2) $/troy oz.               382.650     386.000     0.0
      STEEL SCRAP (8/1) #1 heavy, $/ton   140.50      140.50      19.6
      COPPER (7/29)  cents/lb.            137.4       141.3       18.7
      ALUMINUM (7/29)  cents/lb.          88.5        90.0        24.6
      COTTON (7/29) strict low
       middling 1-1/16 in.,  cents/lb.    88.33       91.47       19.1
      OIL (8/1) $/bbl.                    17.58       17.11       -12.5
      
      Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis 
      market, NYMEX
      
      INTEREST RATES
      
                                          LATEST      WEEK        YEAR
                                          WEEK        AGO         AGO
      
      FEDERAL FUNDS (8/1)                 5.55%       5.73%       4.28%
      COMMERCIAL PAPER (8/1) 3-month      5.80        5.81        4.71
      CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
       (8/2) 3-month                      5.75        5.75        4.68
      FIXED MORTGAGE (7/28) 30-year       8.06        7.95        8.76
      ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE
       (7/28) one-year                    5.94        5.95        5.59
      PRIME (8/2)                         8.75        8.75        7.25
      
      Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC
      
      FOREIGN EXCHANGE
      
                                          LATEST      WEEK        YEAR
                                          WEEK        AGO         AGO
      
      JAPANESE YEN (8/2)                  90.75       88.01       100.55
      GERMAN MARK (8/2)                   1.40        1.39        1.59
      BRITISH POUND (8/2)                 1.60        1.60        1.54
      FRENCH FRANC (8/2)                  4.82        4.82        5.44
      ITALIAN LIRA (8/2)                  1589.5      1595.5      1586.5
      CANADIAN DOLLAR (8/2)               1.36        1.36        1.39
      MEXICAN PESO (8/2)3                 6.140       6.105       3.374
      
      Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, 
      except for British pound in dollars
      
      #Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the 
      BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery 
      and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.   2=Southern Forest 
      Products Assn.    3=Free market value   NA=Not available   r=revised   NM=Not 
      meaningful
      
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