Activision Profit Tops Estimates, While Outlook Misses

Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI), the largest U.S. video-game publisher, posted fourth-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates on sales of the “Call of Duty” series. The stock rose even as the company’s outlook fell short.

Profit, excluding items, rose to 79 cents a share in the period ended Dec. 31, Santa Monica, California-based Activision said today in a statement, beating the 73-cent average of 24 analysts estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Adjusted revenue of $2.27 billion topped projections of $2.22 billion.

Sales and profit, down from a year ago, reflect the two-year drop in spending on traditional video games as more consumers play on mobile devices. Activision’s shooter title “Call of Duty” and “Skylanders,” which combines a video game with collectible toys, helped the company weather the transition to new consoles from Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Sony Corp. (6758) and a drop in sales of games for older machines.

The full-year outlook implies “a nice recovery” in the second half, driven by the upcoming title “Destiny” and games for new consoles, Michael Olson and Andrew Connor, analysts at Piper Jaffray Cos. in Minneapolis, said today in a note.

Activision rose as much as 10 percent $18.96 in extended trading after the announcement. The stock gained 1.7 percent to $17.17 at the close in New York, and has advanced 44 percent in the past year. In July, the company bought out Vivendi SA’s controlling stake.

Forecast

“2013 was a transformational year for Activision Blizzard and for our industry,” Chief Executive Officer Bobby Kotick said in the statement.

Profit this quarter will be 9 cents a share, excluding items, the company said. That’s less than the 11-cent average of analysts’ estimates. Activision forecast sales of $675 million, excluding changes in deferred revenue, below the $688.8 million average of estimates.

For the year, the company forecasts adjusted sales of $4.6 billion and profit of $1.26 a share, excluding items. That’s in line with the average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Like other publishers, Activision predicts sales will pick up as more gamers buy new consoles, Kotick said. As of Dec. 31, “Skylanders” generated more than $2 billion in worldwide revenue, after selling about 175 million toys worldwide, according to the statement.

The company expects its “Destiny” action game, coming in September, to be the next billion-dollar title.

Fourth-quarter net income fell 51 percent to $174 million, or 22 cents a share, from $354 million, or 31 cents, a year earlier. Total revenue, including changes in deferred revenue, declined 14 percent to $1.52 billion from $1.77 billion earlier.

To contact the reporter on this story: Cliff Edwards in San Francisco at cedwards28@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anthony Palazzo at apalazzo@bloomberg.net

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