Balls Pledges U.K. Budget Surplus If Labour Wins 2015 Election

Britain’s Labour opposition will today acknowledge that more austerity is needed as it pledges to return the budget to surplus if it wins the 2015 election.

Labour will eliminate borrowing except for investment “as soon as possible” in the next parliament and start reducing the national debt, with the timing dependent on the state of the economy, Ed Balls, the party’s treasury spokesman, will say in a speech in London, according to remarks released by his office.

“We won’t be able to reverse all the spending cuts and tax rises that the Tories have pushed through,” Balls will tell the annual conference of the Fabian Society. “We will have to govern with less money, which means the next Labour government will have to make cuts too.”

With 16 months to go before the election, Balls is seeking to convince voters that Labour is serious about controlling the public finances after it left office in 2010 with the deficit at a record 11 percent of economic output.

Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne says a resurgent economy has vindicated his austerity program and is pledging to return the total budget to surplus by 2020 if re-elected. Labour says the rising cost of living means most people aren’t feeling the benefits of faster growth.

“Tory claims their plan is working are not going to wash with working people who are seeing their living standards falling and for whom this is no recovery at all,” Balls will say. “But we must make sure the sums add up. We cannot and will not duck the hard choices ahead.”

Help to Buy

Balls will reaffirm a commitment to maintain the existing spending ceiling for 2015-16, the year following the election, as a “starting point.” He will also announce that proceeds from the sale of government stakes in Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY) would be used to cut debt.

With house prices soaring in London and the southeast, Balls will call on the Bank of England to “urgently” review how the government’s Help-to-Buy program is working and to target its impact. Taxpayer guarantees allowing people with minimal deposits to buy homes costing as much as 600,000 pounds ($990,000) “cannot make sense,” he will say.

Balls will say his Labour colleague, Chris Leslie, is undertaking a review of public spending. He will also announce the party will legislate for fiscal rules within a year of the general election, and scrap the idea of rolling five-year targets.

The Office for Budget Responsibility forecast last month that public-sector net debt would peak at 80 percent of gross domestic product in 2015-16 and start falling the following year. It sees the total budget deficit falling from 6.8 percent of GDP in the current fiscal year and returning to surplus in 2018-19.

The current budget, which excludes net investment, is forecast to fall from 5.3 percent of GDP this year and return to surplus in 2017-18.

Balls will reiterate his demand for the OBR, Osborne’s fiscal watchdog, to audit the costing of the spending and tax measures proposed by Labour.

To contact the reporter on this story: Svenja O’Donnell in London at +44-20-76732287 or sodonnell@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at +44-20-7673-2841 or cstirling1@bloomberg.net

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